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X for DPOTY!

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by JJ_79, Jan 4, 2021.

  1. JJ_79

    JJ_79 Well-Known Member

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    He should be it imo, but it probably won't happen, cause he's a Dolphin...
     
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  2. The_Dark_Knight

    The_Dark_Knight Defender of the Truth

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    I was about to say the EXACT same thing!
     
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  3. JIGGAJOE

    JIGGAJOE Active Member

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    Agreed
     
  4. TheHighExhaulted

    TheHighExhaulted Well-Known Member

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    Watt is going to win. He's more commercial.
     
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  5. thetylernator

    thetylernator You're as cold as ice, Officer Friendly.

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    Here's the deal: Gilmore won in 2019 with competition from Donald and Watt. Fast forward to 2020, and Donald/Watt put up almost identical numbers as they did a year ago -- numbers that weren't good enough for DPOY with Gilmore in the conversation. This year, Howard blew Gilmore's 2019 campaign out of the water in nearly every facet, and yet, despite having competition equal to that from a year ago, he's an underdog in the DPOY convo.

    Conclusion: Howard won't win because 1) he's a Dolphin, 2) he's lesser known, 3) the narrative that "it's been awhile" since Donald last won is enticing to voters who feel he's owed another honor, and 4) the narrative that "he hasn't gotten one yet" regarding Watt is enticing to voters who feel he's owed his first honor

    All bull****.

    Bottom line: if Stephon Gilmore's 2019 campaign is the standard for DPOY as a CB, then Xavien Howard's 2020 campaign makes him a shoe-in.

    For reference:

    Gilmore 2019
    G/GS: 16/16
    INT: 6
    TD: 2
    YDS: 126
    PD: 20
    FF: 0
    FR: 1
    COM: 53
    SOLO: 44
    TFL: 0
    PFF: 82.8

    Howard 2020
    G/GS: 16/16
    INT: 10
    TD: 0
    YDS: 77
    PD: 20
    FF: 1
    FR: 0
    COM: 51
    SOLO: 40
    TFL: 1
    PFF: 87.3
     
    Last edited: Jan 4, 2021
  6. JJ_79

    JJ_79 Well-Known Member

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    Thx for writing up those stats, seeing that and if X is not dpoty becomes an even bigger joke! Still hate how they disvalue Zach Thomas one of my all time favorites, why should that change now with X...
     
  7. brandon27

    brandon27 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Agreed. He's not a household name though and we're not a playoff team. Now neither of those points should matter but I'm almost certain it's going to play into the minds of whoever votes for these awards.

    Those stats comparing it to Gilmore's DPOY year prove he's deserving of the award. Curious to note, the guys Gilmore beat out that year; how do their stats compare to those that X is up against this year potentially?

    In 2019....
    - Gilmore had 21 votes and his stats were posted above... very comparable to X in 2020.
    - Chandler Jones had 14 votes... with 19 sacks, 5 PDEF & 48 total tackles in 2019.
    - TJ Watt had 10 votes... with 14.5 sacks, 8 PDEF, 2 INT & 52 total tackles in 2019.

    In 2020...
    - TJ Watt has 15 sacks this year, 7 PDEF, 1 INT & 47 total tackles.
    - X has comparable numbers to Gilmore's 2019 DPOY season.
    - some sports betting sites show Aaron Donald as a favorite... 13.5 sacks, 1 PDEF, 44 tackles.

    I mean, if Gilmore is the standard for a DB winning DPOY based on his 2019 year; then Xavien Howard surely is in the same class with his stats this year.

    If it truly is a defensive PLAYER of the year award based on individual merits & not team success; then it's got to be X's award.
     
    Last edited: Jan 4, 2021
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  8. KeyFin

    KeyFin Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    You know what those stats tell me? Why the heck didn't we draft TJ Watt over a CB with our final first round pick!?! It's not like everyone didn't expect him to be dominant...I just don't understand why he wasn't a Dolphin.
     
  9. brandon27

    brandon27 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Good point, who did we take over him again?

    Edit: Ahh... you may be confusing the draft. That year we picked Charles Harris at 22, Watt went at #30
     
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  10. KeyFin

    KeyFin Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    The CB Noah Igbinoghene. Watt was taken 30th overall.
     
  11. brandon27

    brandon27 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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  12. KeyFin

    KeyFin Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Oh heck, I had my years combined. That solves that, LOL.
     
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  13. brandon27

    brandon27 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    It's all good! I couldn't recall clearly either. When you initially said it I thought Codrea Tankersly and got mad about what a wasted pick was if we took him over Watt. He was a 3rd rounder that year though IIRC. Fact still remains though; we blew it
     
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  14. thetylernator

    thetylernator You're as cold as ice, Officer Friendly.

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    Donald 2019

    G/GS: 16/16
    FF: 2
    FR: 1
    SK: 12.5
    COM: 48
    SOLO: 29
    TFL: 20
    QBHits: 24
    SFTY: 1
    INT: 0
    PD: 2
    PFF: 93.6

    Donald 2020

    G/GS: 16/16
    FF: 4
    FR: 1
    SK: 13.5
    COM: 45
    SOLO: 27
    TFL: 14
    QBHits: 26
    SFTY: 0
    INT: 0
    PD: 1
    PFF: 94.5

    Watt 2019

    G/GS: 16/16
    FF: 8
    FR: 4
    SK: 14.5
    COM: 55
    SOLO: 35
    TFL: 14
    QBHits: 36
    SFTY: 0
    INT: 2
    PD: 8
    PFF: 91.3

    Watt 2020

    G/GS: 15/15
    FF: 2
    FR: 0
    SK: 15
    COM: 53
    SOLO: 43
    TFL: 23
    QBHits: 41
    SFTY: 0
    INT: 1
    PD: 7
    PFF: 91.6

    Howard is up against what is essentially the same strength of competition that Gilmore had in 2019.
     
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  15. mooseguts

    mooseguts Well-Known Member

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    When it comes to the CB position it's not as simple as comparing basic stats. How many yards did Howard give up this year compared to Gilmore? How many TDs? Gilmore covered the opposing teams best WR did Howard do the same? What were opposing QB's QB rating and completion % against Gilmore compared to Howard?
     
  16. thetylernator

    thetylernator You're as cold as ice, Officer Friendly.

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    Howard's are here and Gilmore's are here, if you're interested.

    The advanced metrics tell the same story. Howard was in the same ballpark as Gilmore in nearly all categories, with better ratings going to each in differing categories.

    For example, Gilmore got the better of Howard in the yards allowed category (501 to 812) and the TD's allowed category (1 to 3). However, Howard was targeted more and had to defend nearly 60 more routes than Gilmore. Additionally, opposing receivers averaged .66 yards of separation on a reception with Howard in coverage (good for 2nd in the NFL), while receivers averaged 1.18 yards of separation on a reception with Gilmore in coverage (49th in the NFL), meaning Gilmore got burned more. And while Gilmore managed to keep opposing QB's to a 41.8 rating when targeted (Howard 50.3) both of these marks were good for 1st among all DB's in their respective seasons.

    Again, it's give and take. Howard created more turnovers, pass breakups, and got burned significantly less. Gilmore had better stats against opposing receivers/quarterbacks. However, both guys were still elite even in the categories that they weren't better than the other in. All things considered, they are at least in the same boat, and with the competition remaining almost entirely stagnant, I don't see how Howard isn't the rightful winner of DPOY.

    *This is without considering PFF's grading scale, where Howard holds a 5 point advantage over Gilmore.
     
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  17. Pauly

    Pauly Season Ticket Holder

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    I wouldn’t compare X to Gilmore’s 2019. Gilmore getting DPOY was weak sauce, based on I don't know what. Gilmore never stood out for me like other DPOYs. I’m not saying he played badly and in fact he genuinely played at all-pro level. It’s just that he didn’t memorably dominate the game in the way a DPOY should.
     
  18. The_Dark_Knight

    The_Dark_Knight Defender of the Truth

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    Xavien Howard ALONE had more interceptions than what, half of the teams in the NFL all season.

    That ONE fact alone warrants his awarding DPOY.
     
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  19. mooseguts

    mooseguts Well-Known Member

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    Not really Antonio Cromartie had 10 in 2007, Champ Bailey had 10 in 2006, Ty Law had 10 in 2005, Ronde Barber had 10 in 2001 and there were plenty other players with 9 on the season since 2000.
     
  20. Puka-head

    Puka-head My2nd Fav team:___vs Jets Club Member

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    He's just talking about 2020. X man had more interceptions than most TEAMS in the NFL this season.
    But you just prove the case even more, 10 INT's in a season is big time baller stuff!
     
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  21. mooseguts

    mooseguts Well-Known Member

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    Yes I understand he was talking about 2020 but 10 interceptions alone does not warrant the DPOY award because if it did all the players I listed as having 10 interceptions in their respective years would have won DPOY but that was not the case for any of them.
     
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  22. Phil Hutchings

    Phil Hutchings Active Member

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    X has been selected First-team All-Pro, along with Jason Sanders.

    Jakeem Grant is second-team punt returner.

    Congratulations to all three.
     
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  23. Deus ex dolphin

    Deus ex dolphin Well-Known Member

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    Given how rare double digit INT numbers are, it should be an easy choice for Howard to win it. As others have noted, not being a well known name and playing for the Dolphins means he won't get it.
     
  24. Dol-Fan Dupree

    Dol-Fan Dupree Tank? Who is Tank? I am Guy Incognito. Club Member

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    He had 7 interceptions two years ago.

    I know I am a Dolphin fan, but I would think he would be well-known name with sports writers.
     
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  25. JJ_79

    JJ_79 Well-Known Member

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    Probably, but I think TheHighExhaulted sadly is going to be right or it’s going to be Donald... If you don’t have a well known Name in this league and are not playing for one of those flashy teams, then you have to put down all world numbers. X probably needed to get like 15 Ints to be DPOTY.
     
  26. JJ_79

    JJ_79 Well-Known Member

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    Surprise, surprise, he didn't get it...
     
  27. mlb1399

    mlb1399 Well-Known Member

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    For a CB, I wonder if there’s a correlation between CB’s who scored TD’s and winning the award? While sacks definitely impact the game and QB, INT’s have a higher impact on win probability. But I think sacks get more glorified by the media.
     
  28. Etrius24

    Etrius24 Well-Known Member

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    TJ Watt needs to start giving people upper deckers.
     
  29. The_Dark_Knight

    The_Dark_Knight Defender of the Truth

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    He’s a Miami Dolphin...did anyone expect anyone on our team to get any respect?
     
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  30. JJ_79

    JJ_79 Well-Known Member

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    Time to change that and leave them no choice!
     
  31. brandon27

    brandon27 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Criminal X didn't win. Not just because he's a phin, but because his season far outweighs that of any defensive player. Awards were a popularity contest again. Just like the league itself. Tonights game is a good example as well.
     
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  32. Etrius24

    Etrius24 Well-Known Member

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    Howard had a case for DPOTY... TJ Watt was almost a lock
     
  33. brandon27

    brandon27 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Dont see how you can put TJ over X, but to each their own.
     
  34. JJ_79

    JJ_79 Well-Known Member

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    Sadly that's the feeling you get, especially with all the phoney calls you see in games and at crucial times. Howard got 3 votes, that's just a big joke, when was the last time a player had 10 or more Interceptions. NFL turns more and more into the WWE...
     
    Last edited: Feb 8, 2021
  35. JJ_79

    JJ_79 Well-Known Member

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    Pretty well put...

     
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  36. brandon27

    brandon27 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Exactly, how he only gets 3 votes for a season statistically on par with another player of his position that WON the DPOY award is a bit of a mystery.

    Same for Flores as COTY, but that one I can understand. I think if we had gotten the the playoffs; maybe a different story for him. I get it though, Stefanski did a great job in Cleveland especially with all their Covid issues, although I guess you could put that on him too if you wanted but that's not the point here. I think though that you should have excpected the playoffs from Cleveland. Sure their history says otherwise, but the amount of talent on that roster screams playoff team IMO; especially when compared to ours.

    Just seems like all the awards, "lucky" calls, and all of the attention goes to a few specific teams that the media tends to always gravitate towards. Success brings that about in a way of course; we all get that but I think in the NFL's case it just seems to have far too much importance.
     
  37. TheHighExhaulted

    TheHighExhaulted Well-Known Member

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    Nobody cares about the Dolphins and unless you're in 100 commercials you're not winning anything.
     
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