https://www.miamiherald.com/sports/spt-columns-blogs/armando-salguero/article236346308.html History knows that the NFL draft’s top pick is nothing more than a chance of landing the best player. It’s a lottery ticket. But it doesn’t often become a winning lottery ticket. So that quarterback the Dolphins pick next April, presumably with the first overall selection, better be Super Bowl awesome. Except, history says he probably won’t be. Look at the actual draft history ... Since the dawn of the this century, a span of 20 NFL seasons, no quarterback drafted No. 1 overall has won a Super Bowl for the team that drafted him. Only one of the 14 quarterbacks picked No. 1 overall since 2000 has actually won a Super Bowl — Eli Manning. But everyone else? No Super Bowl title. Consider the list of quarterbacks selected No. 1 overall since 2000: 2001: Michael Vick by Atlanta. 2002: David Carr by Houston. 2003: Carson Palmer by Cincinnati. 2004: Eli Manning picked by San Diego. 2005: Alex Smith by San Francisco. 2007: JaMarcus Russell by Oakland. 2009: Matthew Stafford by Detroit. 2010: Sam Bradford by St. Louis. 2011: Cam Newton by Carolina. 2012: Andrew Luck by Indianapolis. 2015: Jameis Winston by Tampa Bay. 2016: Jared Goff by the Los Angeles Rams. 2018: Baker Mayfield by Cleveland. 2019: Kyler Murray by Arizona. In 2000 the best QB in the draft turned out to be Tom Brady in the sixth round. In 2001 it was Drew Brees in the second round rather than Vick at No. 1 overall. In 2004 you can argue Manning was the right choice because he has won two Super Bowls. You know what? Ben Roethlisberger has won two Super Bowls and he was picked No. 11 overall. And Roethlisberger has a far superior won-lost record than Manning. In 2005, Aaron Rodgers was picked No. 24 overall, or 23 slots after Smith. And we know who turned out better. Four quarterbacks, including Miami’s Ryan Tannehill, were picked in the 2012 draft’s first round. But the best quarterback in that draft was Russell Wilson who was selected in the third round This is one reason why I want: 1a Chase Young 1b 1b Justin Herbert Now Herbert would still be a top pick at our 1b slot, but still not #1 overall and Young has a good chance at being a special player. I haven't dug enough into the will be later round QBs yet, but I will. Any input here in that regard will be cool.