There has been an ongoing debate whether a QB has a Win / Loss record. It is definitely a statistic that is kept: http://www.footballdb.com/stats/qb-records.html (one site of many that refer to a QBs Win/Loss record and/or winning percentage) First of all, to claim the stat does not exist is like claiming the moon doesn’t exist as anyone can plainly see by clicking on the link above it does exist. Now whether someone likes it or not is another matter and appears the answer correlates to whether that person is a fan of Tannehill or not. At least when it comes to most boisterous in the general forum. I've even been told I can't post a QBs Win/Loss record on the forum by a self-appointed moderator? Second, I think there needs to be a clarification as to what a QBs Win/Loss record actually refers to. For those opposed to the stat it appears they think it is being used to say “ONLY” the QB determines whether the team wins or loses the game. As someone that refers to the statistic, NOT SO. For me, it’s “slang” for “When QB starts his team’s record is .” It is easier (perhaps lazy even) to type the QBs Win/Loss record is rather than the longer sentence above. No one I know of when using that vocabulary is under the belief the outcome of games is solely on the QB. It is a team sport. However (I’ll speak for myself), referring to a QBs Win/Loss record is 1) a reference to the QBs leadership and impact on the outcome of a game, 2) great QBs lead to significant more team wins than losses over time, average QBs lead to relatively average team records over time and bad QBs lead to more losses than wins over time, and 3) acknowledgement the QB position is the most influential position in football and that position is so important that if a QB is not able to lead the team to victory it is a really, really good sign the team is in need of a QB upgrade. Some who oppose the use of referring to a QBs win/loss record argue I need to provide a formula showing a QB significantly affects the outcome of games (or something along this line of reasoning). So here is my response: First, to deny a QB Win/Loss record does not exist because it has not been determined what % is a result of the QB play means “LOGICALLY” they would also have to deny “ALL” QB related stats…completions, attempts, yards, TDs, int, QB rating, etc... After all, a QB is not solely responsible for any of the above…the play called, the OL, the WR, the weather, etc… may all play a part in each and every play. For example, the same quality pass can be thrown to the same WR , 10 yards beyond the line-of-scrimmage and in one case the WR can’t secure the catch and in the other the WR makes a good catch, breaks a tackle takes it a total of 50 yards for a TD. In the first example everyone would say the QB is 0 for 1, 0 yards, QB rating 39.58 In the second example everyone would say the QB is 1 for 1, 50 yards, 1 TD pass, QB rating 158.3 No one would say that in both situations the QB is 1 for 1, 10 yards, QB rating 108.33 or that the QB’s pass was on target, but not perfect so they are credited with .723 completion on 1 pass attempt…absurd Second, I believe there is a way to look at the impact of how much a QB influences the game… I looked at Tannehill in particular. To do so I have correlated Tannehill’s QBR with Miami Dolphin Wins and Losses during his career. In a nutshell, QBR is a complex system ESPN utilizing algorithms (using algorithms is almost always complex) based on 10 years of in-depth analysis of every single game played in the NFL. It takes into account how the QB on every play makes an impact toward a team winning or losing. It factors in “clutch” play by looking at the context in which the QBs play occurred (e.g., a TD pass on 4[SUP]th[/SUP] and 5 from the 20 yard line with 30 seconds left to play and the team trailing by 4 points is going to have significantly more weight than a QB throwing a 1 yard TD pass in the 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] quarter with the team trailing by 28 points). It also has trained personnel making judgement as to how much a sack falls on the OL or the QB, or whether an incomplete pass is the fault of a WR, the QB, or both, etc… To summarize, a QBR of “50.0” is considered the play of the AVERAGE QB…perhaps it helps to think the QB ranks 16[SUP]th[/SUP]-17[SUP]th[/SUP] among all starting QBs and with all things being equal would lead the team to an 8-8 record. Below a 50 QBR the QB is more likely to negatively affect the outcome of the game and over time lead to more losses than wins if the QB has more games below a 50 QBR than above. Above a 50 QBR the QB is more likely to positively affect the outcome of the game and lead to more wins over time if the QB has more games above a 50 QBR than below. Of course, the lower or higher the QBR deviates from the 50 QBR the greater the affect. Here are the results that I found when cross-referencing Tannehill’s QBR over the course of his career with Miami Dolphins winning and losing football games when Tannehill starts. Also, the impact on the outcome of games in comparison of head-to-head play with the opposing team’s QB: POINT A) During Tannehill’s career he has 26 games in which he had over a 50 QBR in that game…Tannehill has 31 games in which he had under a 50 QBR. Tannehill has 1 game in which he had exactly a 50 QBR. Miami Dolphins projected record if it were based on Tannehill being above 50 QBR or below 50 QBR = 26-31-1 for a (45.61 winning %). Miami Dolphins overall record when Tannehill has been the starting QB = 27-31 (46.55 winning %) Notes: Uncanny…so even though there are continuous debates game-by-game on whether it was Tannehill gets the fault for losing or credit for winning, “over time” the Miami Dolphins record is almost EXACTLY matches Tannehill’s game log in which he plays below or above the average QB. POINT B) When Tannehill had above a 50 QBR Miami’s record is 18-8 (69.32 winning %) When Tannehill had below a 50 QBR Miami’s record is 8-23 (25.8 winning %) So overall, whether Tannehill was above a 50 QBR or below a 50 QBR there was a direct relationship to Miami winning or losing the game 71.9% (41-16). Notes: In 5 of the losses when Tannehill had above a 50 QBR the opposing team’s QB was Brady, Rogers, P Manning, Newton, or Luck. Another loss against the Cardinals (Kolb, QB) in which a Tannehill lost a fumble at the end of the 4h quarter leading to OT and interception in OT leading to the loss. Another loss was to the Bucs (Glennon, QB) in which Miami led 19-15 and Miami’s offense was completely shut down in 4[SUP]th[/SUP] quarter as Tannehill threw an interception on Dolphins last drive. Final loss, was to the Jags this year in which offense failed to score in 4[SUP]th[/SUP] quarter when it was tied 20-20 to start the quarter. In the 8 games in which Tannehill had below a 50 QBR and Miami won the opposing team’s QBs were Brady (Dolphins D did a number on him), Bradford, Sanchez, Bortles, Orton, Geno, Rivers, Luck, and Sanchez (the one game Tannehill left early with injury and Moore led Miami to victory). Clear indications that Tannehill can play above average and Miami can still lose to teams with elite QBs and when they don’t score in the 4[SUP]th[/SUP] quarter or commit costly turnovers to teams with less than elite QBs. And when Tannehill plays below average Miami can still win games when they play against teams with less than elite QBs or Brady gets shut down J The one game that Tannehill played average (50 QBR) was against the Redskins this year that appropriately enough the offenses ended the game tied 10-10 and Miami won after Landry returned a punt for the winning score in the 4[SUP]th[/SUP] quarter. POINT C) When comparing Tannehill’s QBR with the QBR of the opposing team’s QB, the team with the QB who had the better QBR that game resulted in a record = 48-10 (82.76 winning %) BOTTOME LINE: Looking strictly at whether Tannehill plays above average or below average it correlates with Miami winning or losing 71.9% of the time. Miami Dolphins record based on Tannehill being above 50 QBR or below 50 QBR = 26-31-1 for a (45.61 winning %). Miami Dolphins overall record when Tannehill has been the starting QB = 27-31 (46.55 winning %)…leading to an overall correlation of 97.98%. In head-to-head competition with the opposing team’s QB, the team with the QB who has the higher QBR correlates to a 82.76 winning %. CONCLUSION: So how much does Tannehill’s play significantly affect the outcome of games? I would say at least 70%. And I think I will keep posting QBs Win/Loss records as I see fit, unless of course it falls under the TOS not to.