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Ryan Tannehill

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by bbqpitlover, Oct 16, 2019.

Ryan Tannehill is...

  1. A terrible QB

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  2. A below average QB

    2 vote(s)
    7.1%
  3. An average QB

    1 vote(s)
    3.6%
  4. An above average QB

    13 vote(s)
    46.4%
  5. An elite QB

    9 vote(s)
    32.1%
  6. The GOAT.

    3 vote(s)
    10.7%
  1. Cashvillesent

    Cashvillesent Well-Known Member

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    Please list all the good RBs and WRs he has had
     
  2. texanphinatic

    texanphinatic Senior Member

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    RB: Antoine Smith, Kevin Faulk, Corey Dillon, Danny Woodhead, Legarrette Blount, James White, Deion Lewis
    WR: Troy Brown, David Patton, Deion Branch, Daniel Graham (TE), Wes Welker, Randy Freaking Moss (HoF), Aaron Hernandez (Murderer), Rob Freaking Gronkowski (HoF bound), Julian Edelman, Danny Amendola
     
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  3. resnor

    resnor Derp Sherpa

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    Add Sony Michel. Dude was a stud.
     
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  4. Sceeto

    Sceeto Well-Known Member

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    Well, just FYI, the JFK assassination certainly was a conspiracy. So was Pearl Harbor and the Gulf of Tonkin incidents......and...most definitely....Sept 11th.
     
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  5. xphinfanx

    xphinfanx Stay strong my friends.

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    I still like Ryan Tannehill also. Did you know he was one game away from finishing his season in Miami?
     
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  6. resnor

    resnor Derp Sherpa

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    I see you planting the seeds of a thread locking debate.

    Very clever.
     
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  7. Sceeto

    Sceeto Well-Known Member

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    Peripheral benefit
     
    Last edited: Feb 12, 2020
  8. KeyFin

    KeyFin Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Yup! I wanted to see that so darn bad for a number of reasons...it would have drove the Fins organization nuts!
     
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  9. Cashvillesent

    Cashvillesent Well-Known Member

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    Lmao, you cant honestly be serious about this list


    I ll give you Moss, Hernandez, Gronk. But those all players are nothing without Brady nor they ever were..
     
  10. Fin-O

    Fin-O Initiated Club Member

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    Are we arguing Tannehill, Brady, math or habitual conspiracy theories?

    I'm trying to keep up.
     
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  11. resnor

    resnor Derp Sherpa

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    Yes.
     
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  12. resnor

    resnor Derp Sherpa

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    Untrue
     
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  13. Cashvillesent

    Cashvillesent Well-Known Member

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    Very true.

    To act like Pats WRs been talents coming out is an absurd statement.
     
  14. The Guy

    The Guy Well-Known Member

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    Just list all the offensive players from the Brady era who will make the Hall of Fame.

    If Brady is being carried by his surrounding cast to the tune of a dynasty, league MVP awards, several Super Bowl wins, and his own first-ballot HoF induction, there must be a ton of 'em....

    Or is he somehow being carried to those heights by non-exceptional surrounding talent?
     
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  15. Dol-Fan Dupree

    Dol-Fan Dupree Tank? Who is Tank? I am Guy Incognito. Club Member

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    So Brady now has never had WR talent? I thought that was 2019 excuse.
     
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  16. danmarino

    danmarino Justice for Jacob Blake Club Member

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    It's just stupid...Claiming that the Pats have lacked either good (or better) receiver's or a good (or great) running game over Brady's career is just plain dumb. Anyone who claims otherwise just doesn't know football.

    I mean, we've seen what the Pats look like without either of those things...this last season.
     
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  17. texanphinatic

    texanphinatic Senior Member

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    So you have nothing. Good to know.
     
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  18. danmarino

    danmarino Justice for Jacob Blake Club Member

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    In regards to rushing attempts, over the last 19 years, the Patriots have averaged 10th best in the league. In 10 of those 19 seasons, they finished better than 10th.

    In regards to total rushing yards, over the last 19 years, the Patriots averaged 14th best in the league. In 8 of those 19 seasons they finished 10th or best eight times.

    Those who believe the Pats haven't had good rushing teams, RB's, etc. are just flat wrong.
     
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  19. cbrad

    cbrad . Club Member

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    Almost the entire difference in rushing attempts between winning and losing teams is due to the 4th quarter when the winning team is trying to run out the clock, so it's best not to use rushing yards and rushing attempts as measures of team rushing ability.

    Rushing Y/A is the best measure among the ones listed, and NE has not been good there. Since 2001-2019 their average z-score is -0.4 which corresponds to bottom 35th percentile.

    So while I agree that Brady has had some good offensive weapons, and definitely a good OL, he's generally not had a good rushing game in terms of rushing efficiency. The stats you list are more due to NE having a lead so often rather than the other way around.
     
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  20. danmarino

    danmarino Justice for Jacob Blake Club Member

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    Being able to run the ball efficiently in the 4th quarter, when other teams know that's what you're doing, means a team has a good running game.

    I found an article I read years ago...it's an interesting read.

    https://bleacherreport.com/articles...england-patriots-squander-fourth-quarter-lead
     
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  21. cbrad

    cbrad . Club Member

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    Right, and that's rushing efficiency (Y/A), not rushing attempts or rushing yards per se (yards goes up with attempts). And by rushing efficiency NE was not that good.
     
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  22. AGuyNamedAlex

    AGuyNamedAlex Well-Known Member

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    IMO There is a difference between stating Brady has had good talent around him and saying the talent was HOF caliber and carried him. If the first statement is the debate we are having I'd back that. If it's the second statement that is far less true.

    Hes always had solid professional WR who do their job regardless of Brady himself. Doesnt mean they are HOF players.
     
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  23. Cashvillesent

    Cashvillesent Well-Known Member

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    Randy Moss for about 2 seasons, Gronk for about 7 (he missed about 2 seasons worth of games due to various injuries), Welker/Edelman if you want to count them as a HOF type I guess? Best RB Brady had was Kevin Faulk and he never even made a pro-bowl.



    Meanwhile Manning had: Reggie Wayne, Marvin Harrison, Edgerrin James, Demaryius Thomas, and Emmanuel Sanders. Not even going to mention the TEs.



    Is this a joke? Whenever Brady had comparable talent on offense he won MVP awards just like buddy boy Peyton lol.
     
  24. cbrad

    cbrad . Club Member

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    You're still hung up on Brady vs. Manning? lol..

    I agree with you that Peyton probably had better offensive weapons than Brady, but Brady's defense was on average FAR better. And the influence of the entire defense is a LOT bigger than that of the offense minus QB (so just surrounding cast of the QB on offense).

    By points allowed (all that matters), Peyton's defenses were on average ranked 14.6 while Brady's defenses were on average ranked 7.1.

    So since you're so hung up on SB wins, ask yourself this: how many SB's would Peyton have won had he played with Brady's defense? Maybe the difference becomes negligible between the two?
     
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  25. danmarino

    danmarino Justice for Jacob Blake Club Member

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    Are you including rushes by the QB, WR's, and/or any other garbage time player? This will skew the results. The Pats have definitely been able to run very effectively and above average during the overwhelming majority of Brady's career.
     
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  26. cbrad

    cbrad . Club Member

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    Rushes by all. Yes, it will skew things a bit but bottom 35th percentile isn't going to turn into a "good rushing offense" with that small bias.
     
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  27. texanphinatic

    texanphinatic Senior Member

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    Point to where I said Manning had a worse supporting cast than Brady please, thanks and lol.

    You asked for a list of "good" running backs and pass catchers, you got one, stop crying.
     
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  28. The Guy

    The Guy Well-Known Member

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    How often does a team not have that?
     
  29. danmarino

    danmarino Justice for Jacob Blake Club Member

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    You're using a lot of subjectivity and ignorance when you leave out players the Pats have had and also refuse to look at the team as a whole. I mean, isn't that what the Pats are known for?

    2001- Smith- 1157 yards- 4.0 y/a
    2002- Smith + Faulk- 1253 yards- 4.1 y/a
    2003- Smith + Faulk- 1280 yards- 3.6 y/a
    2004- Dillion (Who you left out) + Faulk- 1990 yards- 4.7 y/a
    2005- Dillion + Pass- 978 yards- 3.7 y/a
    2006- Dillion- Maroney- 1557 yards- 4.2 y/a
    2007- Maroney + Morris- 1219 yards- 4.5 y/a
    2008- Morris + Faulk- 1234 yards- 5.2 y/a
    2009- Morris + Maroney- 1076 yards- 4.0 y/a
    2010- GreenEllis + Woodhead- 1555 yards- 4.8 y/a
    2011- GreenEllis + Rodley- 1108 yards- 4.1 y/a
    2012- Ridley + Woodhead- 1564 yards- 4.3 y/a
    2013- Ridley + Blount- 1545 yards- 4.7 y/a
    2014- Vareen + Ridley + Blount + Gray- 1424 yards- 4.2 y/a
    2015- Blount + Lewis- 937 yards- 4.4 y/a
    2016- Blount + Lewis- 1444 yards- 4.1 y/a
    2017- Lewis + Gillisee- 1279 yards- 4.5 y/a
    2018- Michel + White- 1356 yards- 4.5 y/a
    2019- Michel + White- 1175 yards- 3.7 y/a

    Over 19 seasons the Pats have average 4.3 yards per carry if you just include their top 2 RB's.

    Here is the Colts with Manning:

    1998- Faulk + Warren- 1380 yards- 3.9 y/a
    1999- James- 1553- 4.2 y/a
    2000- James- 1709- 4.4 y/a
    2001- Rhodes + James- 1768 yards- 4.6 y/a
    2002- James + Mungro- 1325 yards- 3.5 y/a
    2003- James + Williams- 1414 yards- 3.9 y/a
    2004- James + Rhodes- 1802 yards- 4.6 y/a
    2005- James + Rhodes- 1624 yards- 4.0 y/a
    2006- Addai + Rhodes- 1722 yards- 4.1 y/a
    2007- Addai + Kieth- 1605 yards- 4.2 y/a
    2008- Addai + Rhodes- 1084 yards- 3.5 y/a
    2009- Addai + Brown- 1109 yards- 3.7 y/a
    2010- Brown + Addai- 992 yards- 4.0 y/a


    In 13 seasons with Manning, the Colts averaged 4.0 y/a

     
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  30. danmarino

    danmarino Justice for Jacob Blake Club Member

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    It seems to show that they were better than the Colts were?
     
  31. cbrad

    cbrad . Club Member

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    The average z-score for rushing Y/A for the 13 years Manning was with the Colts is -0.495 so worse than the -0.4 Brady had in 18 years with NE. The average z-score for rushing Y/A for the 4 years Manning was in Denver is -0.268 so better than Brady at NE.

    Overall, Manning's teams' rushing Y/A z-score is -0.4415 so a bit worse than Brady.

    Relative to the league however, both are pretty bad: Brady's is bottom 35th percentile while Manning's is bottom 32nd percentile.

    That's of course including all rushing. I know you looked at the top 2 RB's and came to a similar result. I think in principle you want to look at all rushing but without kneels, or something like that, but the results are probably no different.
     
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  32. resnor

    resnor Derp Sherpa

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    You love to make claims without any proof.
     
  33. Cashvillesent

    Cashvillesent Well-Known Member

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    And you're trying to do that by comparing YPC? That's the stat you're going to hang your hat on?

    First of all, Manning had a HOF RB across the first 8 years of his career. M.Faulk in 1998 and E.James from 1999--2005.

    And beyond that, using the stats that you provided (minus 2008 for NE, which makes no sense to have been included, since Brady only played 1 game; you didn't include INDY'S stats in 2011 when Peyton was injured, so let's keep the criteria level).
    --NE RB's: 1327 yards per season
    --INDY RB's: 1468 yards per season

    So Manning's RB's ran for more yards on average, than Brady's RB's did. But it's easy to ignore that when you're trying to grasp at straws to knock Brady.

    Oh, and I also realize why you did include 2008 when Brady was out after Week 1. Looking at your stats, that happens to be a 5.2 YPC season for NE RB's (which is by far the best number they had according to your stats).

    So let's sum up...
    --You used YPC of all stats to try and prove Brady had better RB's.
    --You ignored that Manning had 2 HOF RB's across the majority of his INDY career.
    --You ignored that INDY RB's averaged more rushing yards per season than NE RB's.
    --You included a season Brady played just 1 game in, to try and boost the NE YPC numbers to make it look like they were better than INDY RB's.

    Wow.
     
  34. cbrad

    cbrad . Club Member

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    As danmarino said, you should look at team rushing ability, not just individual RB's.

    YPC is the correct stat to use for team rushing ability because of what I said earlier (post #5899): almost the entire difference in rushing attempts between winning and losing teams is due to the 4th quarter. Here are the stats:
    [​IMG]

    You can see that point differential affects rushing attempts in an important way only in the 4th quarter. That's the leading team trying to run out the clock. So you don't want to use rushing attempts or rushing yards (which go up as a function of rushing attempts) to measure how good a team is at running the ball. YPC is the best stat among the ones we have.

    Now, that changes if you're talking about individual running backs because only the better ones keep starting and getting carries, so both rushing attempts and rushing yards will strongly correlate with who the best running backs are, but that's only over a career and ONLY for individuals, not teams. So you want to argue which RB's are likely HoF's, rushing yards is probably the best measure.

    But danmarino's post was about the team, and as I pointed out earlier (post #5911) the z-scores for BOTH Brady's and Manning's teams' rushing efficiencies are well below average, with it being slightly better for Brady.
     
    Last edited: Feb 12, 2020
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  35. Pauly

    Pauly Season Ticket Holder

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    Not just the leading team running out the clock, but the trailing team abandons the run too.

    Out of interest is it possible to do a similar graph on interception% based on quarter and points difference?
     
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  36. cbrad

    cbrad . Club Member

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    Yeah.. results are as expected (for reference, I'm just dividing INT's by pass attempts and not counting sacks as pass attempts):
    [​IMG]
     
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  37. Cashvillesent

    Cashvillesent Well-Known Member

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    Manning is the greatest regular reason QB of all time.

    Problem is, in every sport your legacy is made in the playoffs. He’s choked so many times in the playoffs. No thanks.
     
  38. Cashvillesent

    Cashvillesent Well-Known Member

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    Brady has been sacked 100 plus more than Manning.

    But Brady has top rbs, wrs, olines. Lol.

    It is funny that those "good rbs and wrs" failed when Brady wasnt their QB any longer. Just an example: Deoin Lewis. The dude is a scrub.
     
  39. danmarino

    danmarino Justice for Jacob Blake Club Member

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    Most teams run the ball with either 1 main guy or split the carries with 2 guys. Of course there are those plays where a WR may run a reverse, or the QB tries to avoid a sack and as you know those count as rushes.

    I think what I did tells a little more of the true story. I've never watched the Pats over the past 20 years and thought they couldn't pick up that 3rd and 4...even if they run the ball.

    You're lost and have no idea what you're talking about.

    Let's talk about your summary:

    Yes, I used YPC. I see that cbrad already explained why.
    I didn't ignore anything in regards to Manning's RB's. Did you miss their names in the stats?
    I clearly showed that Indy's RB's were not as effective as the Pat's RB's.
    I was comparing the Pats and Indy. How you think I tried to "boost" NE's YPC is beyond me.

    Wow is right.
     
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  40. resnor

    resnor Derp Sherpa

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    Why would it matter what the Colts backs did without Peyton, if we're looking at what actually occurred with Peyton?
     
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