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Poll: How Many Yards Will Jay Ajayi Run For Against The Jets?

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by Samphin, Nov 2, 2016.

  1. Samphin

    Samphin Κακό σκυλί ψόφο δεν έχει

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  2. RGF

    RGF THE FINSTER Club Member

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    I dont know.
     
  3. Ohio Fanatic

    Ohio Fanatic 30 years and counting Club Member

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    78.35 yards running and 26.323 yards receiving.
     
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  4. Unlucky 13

    Unlucky 13 Team Rosen Staff Member Club Member

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    I say 110 yards and 1 TD.
     
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  5. jw3102

    jw3102 season ticket holder

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    The Jets still have a very good run defense and a pretty bad pass defense. So this might be a game where Ajayi actually has more receiving yards than rushing yards.

    I think less than 50 yards rushing and more than 50 yards receiving is more likely for Ajayi against the Jets defense.
     
  6. xphinfanx

    xphinfanx Stay strong my friends.

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    I was thinking about making this same thread yesterday. Scary to see I have a same thought as Sam, someone help me.:no:

    I'll play the game.

    203 yds just because he's on a hot run with a by week in his back pocket.

    Make it happen and everyone will take notice.
     
  7. Rick 1966

    Rick 1966 Professional Hipshooter

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    I think they key to stop the run and dare Tannehill to throw long on them. I say like 80 yards rushing.
     
  8. Stringer Bell

    Stringer Bell Post Hard, Post Often Club Member

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    Think they manage to keep him under 50 this week.
     
  9. KeyFin

    KeyFin Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Let's be honest, 200 seems like a MASSIVE number to reach in any game....much less three in a row. And since the average back gains 4-5 yards per carry, the math says we can't have Ajayi grinding out 80 plays just for some silly record. But that's the wrong math folks.

    First off, Ajayi is averaging 10 yard bursts frequently over the past few weeks- 1 in 3 touches goes for ten and a 1st down. That's because our line is killing it and opening up holes that just aren't supposed to exist at the NFL level, so forget everything you know about averages. Ajayi will break 100 yards alone on 10 different carries...it's just a matter of which carries we're talking about here. If he gets most of them in the first half, then I think he breaks the record outright IF the score stays fairly close or we blow them out early. Remember, we also need reason for him to play 4 quarters and a record alone won't do it.
     
  10. Bpk

    Bpk Premium Member Luxury Box

    IF he rushes for over 200, has anyone else ever done that in 3 consecutive games? Ever?
     
  11. CrunchTime

    CrunchTime Administrator Retired Administrator

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    77 rush yrds by Ayaji .Jets are tough against the runs up the middle.However I predict we will get a lot of run yards from Tanny and from some gadget plays.Double reverses,play action,Jet sweeps,Screens etc.

    We will win 27 to 16
     
  12. vt_dolfan

    vt_dolfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

    Im saying 115. He gets a ton of yardage on his own...128 yards of his total came after contact against Buffalo. He had 10 broken tackles. Coming in to the Miami game, Buffalo was second in the league in allowing open field yards per carry. Ajayi now leads the league in yards per carry after contact....at 4.11. This tells me that its not just our line getting him running lanes....Jay is creating a ton of yardage on his own. The Jets are currently 14th in Second Level Runs....so if they arent stuffing the run, they do allow some runs to get to the second level. This is where Jay Ajayi will be making the yards....getting to the second level. The one RB to actually do damage to the Pats was David Johnson who had 22 rushes for 111 yards..he is 4th in yards after contact at 3.11.


    I think we use the play action to get up on the Jets...and then ride the Jay Train. 20 Rushes for 115 yards and a TD.

    Looking over the Jets running stats....I do believe their run defense numbers are a bit misleading. Because their secondary has played so bad....teams have not stayed commited to the run. It looks like only Zona did. To beat a good run defense...you have to stay commited to running...even when you arent getting yards. I believe Gase will do just this.....stay commited to the run.
     
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  13. Fin-O

    Fin-O Initiated Club Member

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    69.....hehehehehe


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  14. Unlucky 13

    Unlucky 13 Team Rosen Staff Member Club Member

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    You make some good points, VT. The Browns went into the half with a 20-7 lead over the Jets. Then, after letting the Jets score a TD on the opening drive of the 3rd quarter, they basically abandon the run, go pass happy, and end up with a combination of incomplete deep passes and interceptions until the very end, when they scored a late TD.

    The Browns second half drives lasted 3:01, 1:06, 0:35, and 0:14, before their final TD drive lasted almost 4 minutes, an brought them within 3 points, but only left 15 seconds on the clock. Meanwhile, the Jets held the ball for about 22 minutes after halftime, while the Browns handed them the game on a silver platter.

    We need to not make the same mistakes.
     
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  15. Finrunner

    Finrunner Season Ticket Holder

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    We're at home. The O-Line can hear the snapcount and fire off the ball. We're rested. Coming off a bye in which the coaches have gotten to study the Jets' D for an extended period of time. We're motivated. Getting to 4-4 after being 1-4 will put the team dead in the playoff hunt, going into the second half of the season. We're healthy. When our o-line has been healthy, when haven't they been pretty good this year? Plus, last game of a elongated homestand.

    I think he goes for 125 in a Dolphins' win.
     
  16. Deus ex dolphin

    Deus ex dolphin Well-Known Member

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    I was thinking the same, but Jay rushes for 2TDs, not just one. The Jets commit to stopping the run, but Jay still puts up 110 yds on 24 carries. Tanny gets about 290 yds passing and a TD. Add in two FGs and it is a 27-13 game.
     
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  17. gunn34

    gunn34 I miss Don & Dan

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    I don't see a poll?
     
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  18. vt_dolfan

    vt_dolfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

    Dion Sims back at practice.....one more big piece to add to the running game
     
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  19. MikeHoncho

    MikeHoncho -=| Censored |=- Club Member

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    If you know what I mean. *snickers*
     
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  20. mnfinfan

    mnfinfan Active Premium Member Luxury Box

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    I think he will go over 100 frankly. He has it in his head that he can't be brought down, all he needs from our line is a small crease and he will bust for 3-4 yards. Feed him 25-30 carries and he will be over 100!
     
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  21. caliphinfan

    caliphinfan Active Member

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    I think he goes for 230. If they load the box Ryan will have close to 350 yrds. I think this will be a blowout game anyway so he may be resting in the 4th. Phins 42-10
     
  22. Rick 1966

    Rick 1966 Professional Hipshooter

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    :rolleyes:

    Seriously, what team are you watching that makes you think they can score 42 points on the Jets' defense?
     
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  23. gunn34

    gunn34 I miss Don & Dan

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    I worry if we have to rely on Ryan for the win.
     
  24. djphinfan

    djphinfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    I think he will get a c-note
     
  25. OCDolfan

    OCDolfan a.k.a. LostInPatsLand Club Member

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    Really good point.
     
  26. MikeHoncho

    MikeHoncho -=| Censored |=- Club Member

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    69


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  27. BigNastyDB13

    BigNastyDB13 Well-Known Member

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    This has "load the box and make the mediocre Tannehill beat us gameplan written all over it". Sad thing is, even with an oline thats been plenty good all season in pass protection, minus the one game where injuries killed em and a running game thats been dominant the last 2 weeks and the ability to audible I still dont have much faith that Tannehill can lead his team to points evem against a poor secondary. The excuses arent there anymore for even the most blind of thill homers. He has every advantage in the world right now and would anyone really be surprised if the Jets loaded the box and Thill led us to 17 pts and a loss? Ill say 83 yards by Ajayi. Hopefully Thill can carry his weight this week.
     
  28. The_Dark_Knight

    The_Dark_Knight Defender of the Truth

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    I think the Jets will cause us to go 3 and out on the first series. They do have a stout run defense and I truly do believe Gase is indeed committed to the run. I think he knows an effective and powerful running game is what Tannehill needs to be productive, so question becomes...if after going 3 and out in our first offensive series, does Gase abandon the run?

    Pittsburgh has a pretty stout run defense. Buffalo has a pretty stout run defense. Not saying they're great, just stout and Ajayi ran all over both of them. I have a feeling Ajayi will come close to three 200 yards rushing games in a row....probably 176 yards

    GO PHINS!!!!!!!!
     
  29. vt_dolfan

    vt_dolfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

    Whoaaaa almost nailed this...111yds and 22 carries 1 TD
     
  30. Stringer Bell

    Stringer Bell Post Hard, Post Often Club Member

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    What a performance. Ajayi playing at an All Pro level.


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  31. djphinfan

    djphinfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    ...
     
  32. MikeHoncho

    MikeHoncho -=| Censored |=- Club Member

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    Better than 69...


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  33. Rick 1966

    Rick 1966 Professional Hipshooter

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    We ran better on them than I thought we would. I wish we'd passed a little better, and I REALLY wish we had decent defensive backs. Yeah, we had the INTs but those were basically gifts. We had big trouble defending the pass.
     
  34. Unlucky 13

    Unlucky 13 Team Rosen Staff Member Club Member

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    We are one of the worst teams in the league at creating turnovers. Hopefully, when Howard gets healthy he can help with that. He was known for his INTs in college.
     
  35. jdallen1222

    jdallen1222 He can smell your fear

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    If INT's are gifts, then Fitzpatrick must be Santa Clause.
     
  36. Rick 1966

    Rick 1966 Professional Hipshooter

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    Well, he has the beard...
     
  37. Samphin

    Samphin Κακό σκυλί ψόφο δεν έχει

    MOST int's are gifts, though. They are mistakes by the QB, or the WR running the wrong route. It is rare that an interception is caused by a defender making an extraordinary play, in terms of breaking on a well thrown ball, that is placed where a receiver has run a great route.

    The Jordan Phillips INT, for example, was impressive because a fat tub of goo dropped into coverage, somehow managed to escape Ryan's peripheral vision, and then make an incredibly athletic play, moving laterally after back pedaling, securing the football and then rumbling and hurdling down the field. If Jordan isn't there (as Ryan assumed), then that pass is completed and a first down may have been secured.

    As it was, Ryan missed the GINORMOUS human being that dropped into coverage and Jordan Phillips made him pay.
     

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