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Playoffs's - How We Get There.....

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by vt_dolfan, Nov 20, 2010.

  1. vt_dolfan

    vt_dolfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

    First and foremost....this isnt a "I think we win the next 6" type of thread...anymore than it is a "We dont have a chance" type of thread.

    This is a week to week look where we stand from a matter of fact view point.

    Right now at 5-5 the Miami Dolphins have a 91% chance of missing the playoffs all together based on tie breakers.

    If we win in Oakland, that percent drops to 84% chance of no playoffs.

    If Miami wins all of its remaining 6 games....we only have a 7% chance of not making the playoffs.

    At this point....Miami cannot clinch a playoff spot under any scenario this week...nor will the be eliminated under any scenario.

    If Miami wins 6 of the Next 6 games....we have a 93% chance to make the playoffs.

    We have a 1% chance of being the top ranked Divsional Winner
    We have a 6% chance of being the second ranked Divisional Winner
    We have a 5% chance of being the third ranked divisional winner
    We have a less than 1% chance of getting the 4th divisional winner spot

    We have a 44% chance of getting the first WC seed
    We have a 38% chance of getting the second WC seed....


    If Miami wins 5 of the next 6 games...we have a 50% chance of making the playoffs
    We have a 1% chance of getting any of the first 4 spots
    We have a 10% chance of getting the #5 spot, and a 39% Chance of getting #6



    Please dont post anything about..."forget playoffs...yada yada yada..."


    http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/dolphinsstandings.html
     
  2. vt_dolfan

    vt_dolfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

    Something happened when this was uploading....

    First and foremost....this isnt a "I think we win the next 6" type of thread...anymore than it is a "We dont have a chance" type of thread.

    This is a week to week look where we stand from a matter of fact view point.

    Right now at 5-5 the Miami Dolphins have a 91% chance of missing the playoffs all together based on tie breakers.

    If we win in Oakland, that percent drops to 84% chance of no playoffs.

    If Miami wins all of its remaining 6 games....we only have a 7% chance of not making the playoffs.

    At this point....Miami cannot clinch a playoff spot under any scenario this week...nor will the be eliminated under any scenario.

    If Miami wins 6 of the Next 6 games....we have a 93% chance to make the playoffs.

    We have a 1% chance of being the top ranked Divsional Winner
    We have a 6% chance of being the second ranked Divisional Winner
    We have a 5% chance of being the third ranked divisional winner
    We have a less than 1% chance of getting the 4th divisional winner spot

    We have a 44% chance of getting the first WC seed
    We have a 38% chance of getting the second WC seed....


    If Miami wins 5 of the next 6 games...we have a 50% chance of making the playoffs
    We have a 1% chance of getting any of the first 4 spots
    We have a 10% chance of getting the #5 spot, and a 39% Chance of getting #6



    Please dont post anything about..."forget playoffs...yada yada yada..."


    http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/dolphinsstandings.html
     
  3. Merauder

    Merauder Perseverance

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    Playoffs?!!!!
     
    miamiron likes this.
  4. wpgfishfan

    wpgfishfan Member

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    Thanks for the info...If we go 5-1 the one loss needs to be to Detroit
     
  5. padre31

    padre31 Premium Member Luxury Box

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    Sigline worthy, we play a 5-5 Raiders team next week, and some of our rivals will lose this week, keep plugging.
     
  6. Colorado Dolfan

    Colorado Dolfan ...dirty drownin' man?

    I'm calling it now. We play a 6-4 Raiders team next week. ;)
     
  7. RGF

    RGF THE FINSTER Club Member

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    Well, before we start thinking playoffs a lot of other very important things have to fall into place first. Most notably the draft,free agency,training camp,pre-season games, a productive 16 games. Then maybe we can,in all honesty,start thinking playoffs. Lets not get ahead of ourselves here. It`s still a long way off. :glare:
     
  8. Dolfan4Life

    Dolfan4Life BostonStrong

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    [video=youtube;U7fjDS0jKiE]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U7fjDS0jKiE&feature=related[/video]
     
  9. vt_dolfan

    vt_dolfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

    Well...

    Actually your wrong. We are starting "our" playoffs in week 12. Thus...

    Thank you so much....for taking the three mile approach to telling us all how we have not shot.....even after I asked people not to do such....
     
  10. PHINANALYST

    PHINANALYST Well-Known Member

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    i'll wait til after next week .... to see who we line up and how much improvement, if any, the offense brings .... it doesn't look to promising right now; 5-6 would finnish it ....
     
  11. GMJohnson

    GMJohnson New Member

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    This...
     
  12. Pandarilla

    Pandarilla Purist Emeritus

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    How's the skiing in VT, my snarky friend?
     
  13. muscle979

    muscle979 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    I think that there are some coaches who could take the talent on the Miami roster and coach them into the playoffs. Unfortunately none of them work in Miami. I hope we just get to 8-8 or better at this point. They'll have to win every AFC game remaining to have any realistic shot. So the playoffs start next weekend vs. Oakland.
     
  14. RGF

    RGF THE FINSTER Club Member

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    I appreciate the time and effort you put into the percentages of us making the playoffs. But, I just have a hard time believing we have ANY shot at all with this team this year.
     
    gunn34 likes this.
  15. MikeHoncho

    MikeHoncho -=| Censored |=- Club Member

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    Divine intervention.
     
  16. ToddsPhins

    ToddsPhins Banned

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    "How do we get there?"

    I'm assuming our players can get there by car or plane..... or even bus if they prefer a day or 2 to introspect. :shifty:
     
  17. padre31

    padre31 Premium Member Luxury Box

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    First things first, we have to beat the Raiders if there is one lesson from this season is this Dolphins team cannot look past any opponent.
     
  18. BicketyBam

    BicketyBam No Fist Pumps Allowed

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    Start with getting Henne back. Thigpen isn't going to win road games against the Jets and Pats.
     
  19. padre31

    padre31 Premium Member Luxury Box

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    First things first, they have to get the Center and Left Tackle issues ironed out, it will not matter who is back at Qb if those are not fixed.
     
  20. ilovemyfins4eva

    ilovemyfins4eva New Member

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    honestly, as optimistic as a guy i am and my love for the fins and all, i just don't see us in the playoffs this year unfortunately.

    if we had run the table and gone 12-4, then ya we would have made it. however, being the best we can go is 11-5 now, their is a solid chance we wouldn't get in with that record due to tiebreakers. its a shame because i truly thought at the beginning of the year that we were going o make the playoffs and had a good solid team. however, i feel let down like i am year after year with this team and im stressed about it.
     
  21. djphinfan

    djphinfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    and if Henne can lead us to that raider win, then it is our last hope before we go GM'n Pod.
     
  22. padre31

    padre31 Premium Member Luxury Box

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    Keep in mind, Beast may be out for the Raider game, that means Wallace or Moore step up and play.

    This is a real test for Sparano, Thigpen or Henne, the pieces around them have to be prepped correctly or we see a replay of the Bears game.
     
  23. the 23rd

    the 23rd a.k.a. Rio

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    hope springs eternal
    got to run the board
     
  24. BlameItOnTheHenne

    BlameItOnTheHenne Taking a poop

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    If they're not gonna make the playoffs, at least beat the Jets.
     
  25. Dolphins1Beatles

    Dolphins1Beatles Ziggy Stardust

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    Seem our only hope is Wildcard. Jets are closing in on 8 wins, Patriots are likely to win, not guaranteed though. Dolphins would have to win out and hope the Jets lose to 3 AFC teams aka suffer a 2008 style collapse. Lightning doesn't usually strike twice. However, the wildcard might be better anyway, just hope the Dolphins can get the 5th seed to face the AFC West team haha. Still doubt it though.
     
  26. AbideN703

    AbideN703 Yes, I'd hit it

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    No playoffs for these guys. You can't score a single point at home vs anyone, you aren't making it far.
     
  27. AbideN703

    AbideN703 Yes, I'd hit it

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    Of course that's the only hope. There's no chance at winning the division now (was there ever?)
     
  28. padre31

    padre31 Premium Member Luxury Box

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    Really?

    Jets were shut out at home.
     
  29. Killerphins

    Killerphins The Finger

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    We don't stand a china man's chance in hell in getting to the playoffs.
    It's over folks.....
     
  30. jpep13

    jpep13 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    We are not a playoff team. i know 2008 was different we overachieved, Jets last season 4-5 and made it. We just are not good, too many ?
     
  31. miamiron

    miamiron There's always next year

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    [​IMG]
     
  32. Dolphins1Beatles

    Dolphins1Beatles Ziggy Stardust

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    Well the Jets just choked in epic fashion against the Texans, and should've lost to the Browns and Lions. Maybe lightning can strike twice?? If we go down, we better take the Jets down with us!!!
     
  33. jpep13

    jpep13 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Jets will probally pull it out with 49 sec left
     
  34. jpep13

    jpep13 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    And Jets win
     
  35. Dolphins1Beatles

    Dolphins1Beatles Ziggy Stardust

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    Jason Allen gave up the big play....the Dolphins suck even when they aren't playing hahahaha. We might as well hope for the Patriots to win at this point, I'd rather them win the AFC East since I live in NY.
     
  36. jpep13

    jpep13 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Unreal, That is a team with a Franchise QB with Wideouts that can catch.
     
  37. Dolphins1Beatles

    Dolphins1Beatles Ziggy Stardust

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    That's why you look for QBs in the first round.
     
  38. jpep13

    jpep13 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Henning would have called for wildcat plays for negative yardage.
     
  39. padre31

    padre31 Premium Member Luxury Box

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    We'll see, Optimism costs nothing Killahp, first things first, get the Oline sorted out.
     
  40. hazed819

    hazed819 Well-Known Member

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    Well the fact that Henning was still on the team Saturday Afternoon tells me all i need to know about this season... REFLECTIONS. Depending on how bad we lose out the rest of this season and make no mistake about it there will be ALOT of losing, will determine whether or not we will be QB, HC, OC hunting this offseason. Sparano decided everything is workign as intended, and this aint gunna work for us the fans and hopefully the owner.
     

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