http://www.nfl.com/playoffs/playoff-picture REMAINING OPPONENTS: at Bills (3-4), at Eagles (3-4), vs. Cowboys (2-4), at Jets (4-2), vs. Ravens (1-6), vs. Giants (4-3), at Chargers (2-5), vs. Colts (3-4), vs. Patriots (7-0) LOL Denver (6-0) and fALCONS (6-1) WILD CARD TEAMS not sure if being a wildcard with that type of record demonstrates a flaw in the playoff system. One could argue it does
Good post. We're really still in the playoff picture given that the Jets, Bills and Raiders are ahead of us (Pitt/Cinci we won't overtake). So I wouldn't get too depressed about this loss yet.. still a lot of football to play!
Before the game even a loss to New England to put the team at 3-4 I wasn't ready to call the season over. An 8-8 record could possibly get the 6th seed. Certainly a 9-7 record this year. But with Cameron Wake being out for the season and Juwon James being out 4-6 weeks I don't believe they can. Two big losses. Wake is the MVP of this team IMO. James being out now means Fox is starting. Wake was the only DL getting to the QB with consistency. The pass rush is essentially gone.
Yeah, but you gotta admit we still have a realistic chance of beating out the Jets and Bills (and Oakland) with what we have left. No reason to lose hope just yet.
If we assume that the Patriots, Bengals, Colts and Broncos win their divisions, Miami would have to better than all but one of the following: Bills, Jets, Raiders Chiefs, and Chargers. Even though the Titans, Texans, Jaguars, Browns and Ravens look out of it I'd say Miami is hard pressed to get in. They're going to have to run the ball really well with Jason Fox now in the lineup and somehow get pressure without the guy who had 50% of the teams sacks.
Yeah, it's hard for every one of those teams you listed to get in, but I wouldn't say it's harder for Miami than any one of them. One good fact: we play the Jets, Bills, Ravens and Chargers, so it may come down to how good our record is in those 4 games (we have to win 3 of 4 probably).
Yeah we are very much in this. We are right on the same level with these other teams we have to play, so anything is possible. A win up in Buffalo would be massive. This is also the time of year that you start to scoreboard watch because every week really begins to matter. Baltimore needs to beat San Diego for starters, After that who are we rooting for in the Jests Raiders game? I guess Oakland? Hopefully Detroit beats KC, and Cleveland loses too. Who do we root for in the Pitt/Cincy game?
Its Pittsburgh and the steJ we'll have to be better than to get a wild card, they are the only teams to worry about, but we're not catching them, both those teams are clearly better than we are.
This might be a bit too dramatic for some, but I believe the loser of the Bills and Dolphins is essentially eliminated from playoff contention.
I wouldn't go that far. I forgot which season it was that San Diego barely sneaked into the playoffs. They needed so many things to fall into place for them to enter but it happened. In other words, it ain't over 'til it's over. That being said, our chances would drop dramatically, especially considering our division record would be 0-3. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
The Bengals are likely going to take that division so root for them to put another loss on the Steelers.
Anything is possible but we all saw how bad this defense was before Wake was able to create a pass rush. With him gone, that exposes our weak pass d. I'm also not sold on this offense being able to pick up the slack. I would love to be wrong but I don't see it.
Bowles and his cavalry will get that 5th seed. It's going to come down to us and Pittsburgh for the 6th.
Pittsburgh lost.. now at 4-4. Chargers lost. Jets losing right now against Oakland. If we win against Buffalo, we're right in the thick of things.
We just need to get to 9/7. Forget about tie breakers...9/7 and we are in playoffs. So...we have three losses to play with. Thats when you know our season is done.
Wake was being used essentially in a pass rushing situation only. Personally if you put Chris McCain in same spot...hes gonna get the needed pressure
I agree....forget about all the, "Well what about this team or that team" nonsense. None of it matters if Miami can win football games. We're 3-4, and to have a realistic chance of the playoffs, we need to finish the season 6-3 or better. If that happens, we're in. If it doesn't happen, we're not. Let's look at who we have remaining- Buffalo Philly Dallas Jets Ravens Giants Chargers Colts Pats 1) Let's be 100% realistic here. We won't likely beat the Pats, so let's call the last game first...that's loss #5. 2) Next, Philly, Dallas, Giants and Indy are teams we should beat, and if we don't then the season is screwed anyway. So let's say we take 3 of 4 and put us at 6-6 overall. 3) That leaves Buffalo, the Jets, Baltimore, and San Diego....all AFC opponents we're fighting for the final playoff spots. And let's say we split with Baltimore and/or San Diego, placing us a 7-7 overall. 4) I also feel that Buffalo is a must-win game, and I believe that our team will come out extremely motivated. Let's call this a win and we're 8-7 overall. With how screwed up the standings are this season, we have about a 40% chance of being in the playoffs at this point. 5) Which leaves the Jets...a team that I think will continue playing solid football. If we beat them, we're almost definitely in the post-season. If we lose, then maybe we squeak in anyway. But since we'll probably face them in the Wild Card game if we lose the first time, this is also a very big game either way. So the two real keys to the season FOR ME is the Buffalo and NY Jets games remaining. If we go 2-0 in those, I think we're in the playoffs. If we go 1-1, then its another one of those seasons where we're not dead until week 17. If we lose both, then it's going to be a fairly long wait until 2016 arrives and we name a new head coach. Because if we do lose both, I think the Campbell experiment ends in 2015.....so I really, really, really hope that we don't lose both because I love Campbell overall.
I think it totally matters what happens to other teams. There are quite a few instances of 8-8 teams getting a wild card spot (and the rare 7-9 even winning a division). Based on results so far that last wild card spot could very realistically go to an 8-8 team, especially with the Jets getting blown out right now.
I don't think Wake is so easily replaced, especially by a guy who has gotten 7 snaps this year. The biggest problem is we already have 3 guys starting on this defense that shouldn't be starters in the NFL. Who knows about McCain but it would be tough to say he's starter caliber if he was barely sniffing the field. I just think this team has far too many holes at this point to be a playoff contender. Our OL only has 2 starting caliber players left. I don't see us being able to run the ball and I don't think Tannehill is good enough to carry this offense. The only area we excelled at, rushing QB's, just got substantially weaker. I think we were fooled by our offseason. Suh was not the answer(not saying he's not good, but he isn't carrying our defense), our revamped offense isn't really revamped, we still have the same problems at the same positions we had last year. On top of that, we have another draft class that is contributing very little.
Jets lost which was good, Chargers lost too which was good. We're in this, but we gotta show up against Buffalo.
plus fitz got hurt, so geno smith is back... a wild card is still a possibility. aside from the patriots game all remaining games for miami are winnable. doesn't mean we win them, but the possibility is there.
I was watching the jets game and Geno looked awful. The only thing I could of was how did this guy light up the defense last year.
As the other teams fall, we have to believe we have a shot. Hopefully Campbell is talking with the team about that as well. To play devils advocate, the other teams are probably looking at us and saying now that Wake is gone and Tanny not stepping up in big games, they don't have to worry about us either. Especially with the way we lost to NE.
Unfortunately, our four losses are all against AFC teams which will come back to haunt us, especially the three divisional losses, so far. We have no head-to-head matchups with The Raiders or Steelers, so our easiest path is to leapfrog our own divisional rivals. Which means games against The Bills and Jets are 100% must win scenarios. If we lose to Buffalo this week, you might as well start playing the younger guys and see what we have to build on for next season and start making some educated decisions on some of the free agents (Vernon, Shelby, Miller, etc.)
Please don't tell Tanny they're must win games....he'll fold like always. Tell him they are meaningless, maybe then we have a shot.
The Bills and Jets games are must win scenarios no doubt. Frankly with this much on line...if we can't go to Buffalo and win..whats the point anyways.
I think we'll see what we really have with this coaching staff this week. Thay had extra days to prepare for the bills and it's a must win. Let's see what they come up with.
If we play Oakland this year I'll be pretty happy cause it would mean we're in the playoffs. Only team we play from the AFC West are the Chargers this season.
So, we're 3 spots out of a Wildcard seed with the meat of our schedule coming up without Wake or James (who is being replaced by Dall*blech*as Thomas)...
