NY Jets Regular Season Record (Prediction)

Sat down to eat dinner and picked up the little laminated schedule card that comes with my season tickets. So for sh!ts and grins....

2-1

@Buffalo - W - won't be easy though.
Minnesota - W - Peterson breaks some runs, but Favre throws 3 picks.
@Denver - L - tough place to play, Jets never win there
Green Bay - L - Rodgers throws for over 300 and the Jets lose a shootout
@Detroit - W - Detroit is bad
@Cleveland - W - Hello, Eric Mangini
Houston - W - Revis back, limits Texans weapons
Cincinnati - W - Jets have their number and Carson Palmer isn't what he used to be
@New England - L - Jets sweep Pats? No way. Brady gets revenge
Miami - L - Miami gets revenge too
@Pittsburgh - L - Pittsburgh defense stifles Jets, holds them to under 200 yards
@Chicago - W - In a must win game for the Jets, Cutler throws 4 int's
Buffalo - W- Buffalo goes 0 - 16.

Final regular season record: 10 - 6

It probably won't go exactly that way, but I figure on the W's I get wrong, I'll pick up a surprise win. The W's I am not confident with: Houston and Chicago.

Have at it

 

You lost your home opener, on national TV no less, to a 2-14 team?

 

Did you read the title of my post?

And who says 10-6 makes the playoffs?

sent from my kick azz phone

 

So far so good. Now they have to lose to Denver this Sunday to keep my prediction right

 

They are good relative to what is currently the NFL, but they are not a powerhouse, or even a great team. They have holes.

1. Revis is not Revis. The holdout killed his season. He will not play at the level he played last year for the rest of the season. And so much of Ryan's defense depends on great cover corners. Thank God they got Cromartie and that he is playing well so far, otherwise they would be totally screwed.

2. The can not put pressure on a QB without blitzing. That's a huge problem especially when you don't have 2 shut down corners. A team like the Colts will pick them apart.

3. The offensive line still can struggle on pass protection. Slauson is a rookie and at times he really struggles. Brick played very well last night, but he is capable of crapping the bed against a good pass rusher.

4. Edwards drops too many balls....usually the easy ones. I've never seen a guy make so many highlight reel catches only to follow it up with a ball that bounces off his chest. I do NOT trust that guy in a big spot.

5. Sanchez is still only 23 games into his NFL career and still throws some balls that make you scratch your head. He is getting better and I think he will be a good, but not great, QB in this league. But when pressured, he has a tendency to get rattled.

6. The defense wears down late in games (and as I already pointed out, they rely too much on the blitz). It happened last night. It happened against you guys. I saw it happen a bunch of times last year. This is NOT a great defense and it can be exposed. They were fortunate that Bad Brett chucked one to us at the end of the game, because I had no faith they were going to keep them out of FG range.

They have some work to do. They are not a championship team. I think the Colts, the Steelers and the Ravens are all better. And I think the Dolphins are just a hair behind them.

For the Jets to be a true championship team, they need better down linemen, a 100% healthy Revis and a QB with more experience. I don't see any of that happening this year. I see a playoff team that will lose in the second round (at best).

 

Denver is 25th at stopping the run and 16th against the pass. Total yards has them at 19th. I wouldn't call them a horrible defensive team. Their offense is ranked 4th, dead last in rushing but 2nd is passing. There is no mystery as to what they are going to do on Sunday. Throw the ball, throw the ball and then throw the ball some more. They've beaten Seattle and Tennessee,. They've lost to Jacksonville, Indy, and Baltimore. The only bad loss is to Jacksonville. I know Jacksonville is 3-2, but I don't think they are that good.

Orton is having a very good year so far. 8 td's, 3 int's while completing 66% of his passes. Lloyd, Gaffney and Royal make up a pretty good receiving corp. This will be no walk in the park. The Jets struggle against the pass. Revis will not play (at least he shouldn't). The best bet for the Jets is to run the ball, control the clock, finish their drives with TD's and keep the ball out of Orton's hands.

The game is in Denver and I originally had this down as a loss. I am standing by that. The Jets are due for a letdown and Sanchez is due for a bad game. Can the Jets win? Sure. It wouldn't shock me either. But gun to my head, I think Denver wins. To say we are going to murder them is homer speak.

 

How are the Jets a 3 point road favorite?! Very tempted to put money on Denver.

 

I'll stick with the original 10-6.

 

5-1

Green Bay - L - Rodgers throws for over 300 and the Jets lose a shootout
@Detroit - W - Detroit is bad
@Cleveland - W - Hello, Eric Mangini
Houston - ? - Revis back, limits Texans weapons
Cincinnati - W - Jets have their number and Carson Palmer isn't what he used to be
@New England - L - Jets sweep Pats? No way. Brady gets revenge
Miami - L - Miami gets revenge too
@Pittsburgh - L - Pittsburgh defense stifles Jets, holds them to under 200 yards
@Chicago - W - In a must win game for the Jets, Cutler throws 4 int's
Buffalo - W- Buffalo goes 0 - 16.

Final regular season record: 10 - 6/11 - 5

Adjusted for the Denver game. I changed the Houston game to a toss up. So I forecast that the Jets might go 11-5 or 10-6.

I have to say that I feel better about the GB game. Having the bye week helps and seeing how the Jets faired against a predominantly passing Denver team strengthens my position. I am still not ready to call it a W though.

I still feel good about DET, CLE, BUF. I can't see them losing to any of those teams. So 2 wins against NE, MIA, CHI, GB, CIN, HOU or PIT. I think that is realistic.

 

I wish there was a "No Thanks" button.

 

Above average. Not great. Not yet.

 

To me, ppg is the most important stat. Yards against is far less important. Jmho.

sent from my EVO 4G

 

But doesn't the stronger defense hold their opponent to a FG in that situation?

I can see your point, but to me a defense's main goal is to defend the endzone, which is measured by points allowed.

I wish I could find a reference that shows opponents average starting field position. I could only find the average starting field position for each team (which the Jets are ranked 2nd in and Miami is ranked 32nd).

 

Agreed, but great defenses (and I am NOT saying the Jets are great), hold opposing teams to FG's when their offense turns the ball over deep in their territory. The only thing it can't prevent is a return for a TD (punk, kick fumble or INT).