Miami at Baltimore: latest betting line

I thought it would be right around 5 pts, Ravens at home and coming off of a bye, but the Sparanophins are actually solid Road Dogs under the current coach I think we have covered more than we have lost on the road with Sparano.

"cobrajet wrote:

Baltimore is favored by 5.5 points and the over/under is 40.5 points

http://www.footballlocks.com/nfl_lines.shtml

Most likely 3 points for home field advantage, 2 points for weather difference, and .5 of a point for their actual play. 5.5 is an interesting spread. It's not 6 or 7 its 5.5. Very interesting. :shifty:

Wow the over/under is 40.5 points? I think I am going to have to take the under on this one. I see this turning out to be like the Bills @ Chiefs game, personally.

Then again I have poor luck so it will most likely be a shootout.

/sigh

I am still taking the under. :tongue2:

Whatever happens in this one, if they find themselves with the ball, leading by less than a field goal, in the closing minutes of the fourth qtr, protect the ball! Don't carelessly wrestle defenders for YAC, hence reliving the humiliating larceny that befell the woeful Bills in week 7.

Ravens run defense has been pretty spotty this year. Should be interesting.

I'm taking Miami all day. That line will move.

if you can take miami 5.5 right now, do it! They win this game!

"VanDolPhan wrote:

Ravens run defense has been pretty spotty this year. Should be interesting.

Doesn't matter, we can't run the ball....

I am tempted to bet on this game and I'm not a gambler. Anyone know of a legitimate internet service to place such a bet? (no bookies with guys named Vinny and his oversized baseball bat, TY)

The Fins will not lose this game...even most of the experts are picking Miami.

Funny thing is, Miami started off as 3 pt dogs vs Cincy, and by game time we were 1 pt favorites. Barring an injury to a star player, movement like that is almost unheard of.

This week, Bodog had us at +6 & Sportsbook +5.5 to begin the week. We're now at +5 in both sites. It would appear as though the public is catching on to the idea that we're pretty good. That's terrible news, especially if you're a degenerate gambler like me :tantrum:.

"keith075 wrote:

I am tempted to bet on this game and I'm not a gambler. Anyone know of a legitimate internet service to place such a bet? (no bookies with guys named Vinny and his oversized baseball bat, TY)

The Fins will not lose this game...even most of the experts are picking Miami.

Bodog & Sportsbook are reliable sites. I was tempted to jump in @ 5.5, but with all these "experts" taking Miami, I may have to reconsider.

"keith075 wrote:

I am tempted to bet on this game and I'm not a gambler. Anyone know of a legitimate internet service to place such a bet? (no bookies with guys named Vinny and his oversized baseball bat, TY)

The Fins will not lose this game...even most of the experts are picking Miami.

Not that it matters -- and I don't doubt you -- but I haven't seen any of the so-called 'experts' take Miami. ESPN was a clean sweep in favor of Baltimore.

"FaninPatsyLand wrote:

Not that it matters -- and I don't doubt you -- but I haven't seen any of the so-called 'experts' take Miami. ESPN was a clean sweep in favor of Baltimore.

he said experts.....not espn.....:shifty:

"SICK wrote:

he said experts.....not espn.....:shifty:

Touche. :lol:

"GMJohnson wrote:

Bodog & Sportsbook are reliable sites. I was tempted to jump in @ 5.5, but with all these "experts" taking Miami, I may have to reconsider.

TY for the websites.....and I stand corrected. There have been several so-called "experts" that have chosen to take Miami, but even the ones who picked Baltimore expect a low scoring, beat-em-up football game.

I wouldn't touch the over/under, but I think Miami and 5 is very tempting.

"keith075 wrote:

The Fins will not lose this game...even most of the experts are picking Miami.

ESPN: Eight of eight pick the Ravens
SI.com’s Peter King: Ravens 31, Dolphins 19
USA Today: Eight of eight pick the Ravens
Yahoo! Sports: Three of three pick the Ravens
Sporting News: Five of six pick the Ravens
Pro Football Talk: One of two pick the Ravens

Total: 26 Ravens picks, 2 Dolphins picks


And how is this name available?? LOL

"cobrajet wrote:

Baltimore is favored by 5.5 points and the over/under is 40.5 points

http://www.footballlocks.com/nfl_lines.shtml

Most likely 3 points for home field advantage, 2 points for weather difference, and .5 of a point for their actual play. 5.5 is an interesting spread. It's not 6 or 7 its 5.5. Very interesting. :shifty:

I bet it early and got 6 points. The line is now at 5. There is a standard 3 point allowance for home field but, nothing for weather unless it's raining or very windy at game time. At this point, "experts believe Balt is 3 points better than us. That would be the line on a neutral field.

This line went to 5.5 and then 5 because there is a lot of money going Miami's way. They keep adjusting until there is even money on both teams.

The over/under has now moved to 41 points, however the spot remains the same at 5.5 pts.

"Slowmotion wrote:

Dolphins by 30

Carpenter better start kicking right now:shifty:

I don't know what to think about this game. I guess it depends on which Dolphins team shows up. We can either look great or awful depending on the day and I think both teams have a tenancy to run hot and cold. Naturally I want the Dolphins to pound them but most of the players that I liked in the recent drafts have gone to the Ravens. If we fawn on this team we will get our asses handed to us. This is a good football team and when they are "ON" - they are "ON", much like we are.

I think in order to win; Henne must win the battle of the Linebackers. If he leads with his eyes, becomes obvious or they don't give Henne rollouts to play, Lewis and company will eat his lunch. This will be a dogfight and going into Balitmore will only make it worse regardless of how good we play on the road. This team is like our second self. In many ways they resemble our own team in the sense that both teams play better defense than offense. Both teams have inconsistent streaks and both teams have QB's that are what I would consider to be "up and coming". If we are “ON” and Dan Henning learned anything about how this team produces points last week, we’ll win by 3 or less

Interesting fact: Playing in Baltimore is something that no one in the AFC East has had to do accept the Dolphins and the Bills.

"miamiron wrote:

Carpenter better start kicking right now:shifty:

:lol:

"HardKoreXXX wrote:

I'm taking Miami all day. That line will move.

Depends on where the money goes

"miamiron wrote:

Depends on where the money goes

Absolutely. Look at the odd play when we faced both the Steelers (Rothlesberger in endzone) and the Bills (the endzone folly) that covered the spread. These bookies cannot be that good. Some of these games have got to be fixed.

I mentioned this in our gambling thread.

Dolphins are 9-0 ATS on the road vs. teams with a winning record since 2007.
Tony Sparano is 6-1 ATS in his second-consecutive road game.
Tony Sparano is 14-5 ATS on the road.

http://forums.thephins.com/showthread.php?t=53179