Undoubtedly, the Tank for Tua plan is officially in Stage 1, and I cannot state it enough, it is a stupid plan. I just keep thinking to myself, "there are just so many ways that this plan does not work, and it blows up in our face." Problem #1 - no one is going to try to lose. I literally do not think that a single player or coach is willing to go out there and lose on purpose. Contrarily, I think every player and coach will in fact do their very best to win. Let's just say, we start Jake Rudock, and we say, "we need you to lose," there is no way he would. He is getting his big chance, and even if he does a decent job, he could get life changing money. Look at guys like Trevor Siemian and Brian Hoyer. Just hanging around rosters have made them rich men. These guys know that the Dolphins are going to be bad next year, but these guys also know that football is their job and doing it well is very lucrative. Although they will be playing for the Dolphins, they know 31 other teams are watching. Second of all, think about the coaching staff. These guys are professionals too, and they know that being one and done is a real thing. Now many people will say that Flores and almost certainly his staff were fully informed that they were entering a rebuild, and they are going to get multiple years to rebuild the team. That is true, but never forget, things can change in an instant. Imagine if Jim Harbaugh said he wanted to come back to the NFL. I am 100% positive that Ross would seriously consider hiring him. Flores knows that if he is a one and done, he could go down the road of Cam Cameron and never get another sniff as a HC again. On the other hand, suppose Rudock went out there and played well and the offense really clicked. Other teams would recognize the fact that the Dolphins are not very talented on offense, and O'Shea got a lot out of a little. You could easily see him on the fast track to becoming a HC himself. These guys have every incentive to win. Problem #2 - Our defense could be good. If you put a gun to my head, and made me guess who we are taking in the first round, I would say the best edge guy available. The edge guys are extremely talented, and we could draft a potential super star. Flores is a defensive guy, and this makes sense. Moreover, we have a TON of talent in the secondary. If we used an additional early draft pick or two on the defense, we could be respectable quickly. If our defense does get vastly improved we could find ourselves in a bunch of low scoring games. If we happen to win just a handful of those games, the number 1 pick could slide out of our hands. Problem #3 - Bad, but not bad enough. In order for this plan to work, we absolutely have to get the first pick in the draft. Even if we have the 2nd pick in the draft, obtaining the first pick could be virtually impossible. Imagine if we are terrible, but the Giants are worse. We have zero chance of getting Tua. There are probably handful of teams in contention for the first pick in the draft. Also, never forget, the Colts were Super Bowl contenders when they got the first pick and drafted Luck. Manning got hurt, and don't forget, they brought in Kerry Collins, and still wound up being worst team in football. Some team could get the injury bug in the preseason, and wind up coming out of left field to get the first pick in the draft. Call it a hunch, but if Big Ben went down in the preseason, I could see the Steelers being the team. Problem #3 - Tua stays. Suppose Tua is having a great time in Bama, and he wants to stick around for one more year, or maybe he wants to hone his skills a little more. There is no guarantee that he leaves. What is worse. What if we tank perfectly. We go 0-16, 1-15, or 2-12, and his family looks and says, "Tua, the Dolphins are so bad. You are doomed to fail. They will expect you to turn the entire team around, and they are asking way too much. Go back to school, and let someone better draft you." Now again, contrarians would say, "hey, even if we don't tank perfectly, we could most likely get Herbert or Fromm." I would say, maybe. Even if we get the fourth pick, these guys could be off the board with no hope of trading up. Odds are, if a team is drafting in the top 3, it is because they need a QB. The other problem is that if we do actually get Tua, it might all be worth it, but if you told me today that we should tank for Fromm or Herbert, I would be critical of that plan. Those guys don't feel like franchise changers to me. If you miss by tanking by an inch or by a mile, it is the same. Problem #4 - Doublethink - In George Orwell's classic 1984, he discusses the paradoxical thinking that happens all too often. Essentially, people reconcile believing two totally opposite things in their minds. In this case, it would involve us thinking that we are going to be the worst team in football while at the same time having a solid draft this season. Moreover, we will have a corps of guys (Minkah, Baker, Tunsil, Howard, Jones, McCain, Drake, McMillan, Wilson) + our draft picks will be the absolute worst team in football, while at the same time, we think that the very same corps of guys will be the guys that will eventually be the cornerstones of a Super Bowl team. I just have a hard time believing that both of those statements could possibly be true. Let me be clear, I would absolutely love to get Tua, but I think that this plan is easier said than done. I think that even if executed perfectly, there are far more ways that the plan fails than it works. I really think that this is a bad plan.