Bill has become the first hurricane of the 2009 Atlantic Basin season. The earliest models had this system on top of Key West August 23 but the very next day all the models shifted east taking the expected northward turn into the Atlantic instead of up Florida's spine, or into New Orleans. To this point almost without exception, the forecast track has moved eastward with every advisory. I will peruse and post some model animations this afternoon for your viewing pleasure. This storm is expected to intensify quickly into a major hurricane and will be a danger to Bermuda and our friend Richard about dawn on Saturday. There is also some chance that this monster could impact the American northeast coast about Monday, one week from today. Here is the 5 day forecast; Here is a sequence of some satellite loops showing the growth and deepening of Bill across the last three days; Visible loop I think I caught this just before they pulled it before loading the first visible loop of the day like the one above; A sequence of ensemble models for comparison; Have a nice day!