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Bills hire our analytics guy

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by Finatik, Feb 26, 2019.

  1. Finatik

    Finatik Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    The numbers clearly show it’s colder in Buffalo than Miami. Dennis Lock is going there anyway.

    According to Armando Salguero of the Miami Herald, Lock has left the Dolphins for a position with the Bills.

    His title in Miami was director of analytics, and he’s been there since 2015.

    His new position with the Bills is director of football research and strategy. Lock has a PhD from Iowa State in statistics, and joins a staff that has built up an analytics department.
     
  2. Fame

    Fame Well-Known Member

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    I wish I knew how to feel about this.
     
  3. cbrad

    cbrad . Club Member

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    Here's a paper he wrote that shows a slightly improved way of calculating win probability:
    http://homepage.divms.uiowa.edu/~dzimmer/sports-statistics/nettletonandlock.pdf

    He knows stats obviously but the question is whether he can find something in the available data that meaningfully improves a team's chance of winning, as opposed to suggestions for a few specific situations. I doubt that's happened yet or we would have kept him a secret lol.

    Personally, I'd start by looking at play calling tendencies of various coaches. Humans are notoriously bad at being random even when they want to (e.g., in experiments that tested this), and I bet you could use that lack of randomness against them.
     
  4. Pauly

    Pauly Season Ticket Holder

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    I’m not that sad. There doesn’t seem to have been any visible fingerprint to say he was better than the average NFL team statistician. Maybe some of that was the coaches not listening to his input, but then I’d say he failed in communicating the data properly.

    I’d be a lot more sad if it was cbrad saying he was leaving this forum to be a Bills fan
     
  5. firedan

    firedan Well-Known Member

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    Bye,bye Felicia.
     
  6. mooseguts

    mooseguts Well-Known Member

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    Out of all the analytic guys named Dennis Lock who worked for the Dolphins he was definitely my favorite.
     
    Dol-Fan Dupree and AGuyNamedAlex like this.
  7. Unlucky 13

    Unlucky 13 Team Rosen Staff Member Club Member

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    It doesn't seem like anything he offered the team helped, so no loss.
     

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