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accuscore predicts...

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by RickyBobby, Sep 23, 2010.

  1. RickyBobby

    RickyBobby VIP DIY

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    if we Ronnie and Ricky run for 100+ the we have a 77% chance of winning
    http://espn.go.com/blog/afceast/post/_/id/18723/accuscore-has-easy-formula-for-dolphins

     
  2. SCall13

    SCall13 ThePhins QB

    Miami wins 27-13. The offense gets it going and capatilizes on Jets TOs.
     
  3. phinnhedd

    phinnhedd Reality.

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    Accuscore didn't give us much of a chance last week.
     
    finyank13 and padre31 like this.
  4. FinsAreLife

    FinsAreLife Well-Known Member

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    I hate accuscore, it means absolutely nothing.
     
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  5. Alex13

    Alex13 Tua Time !!! Club Member

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    but its week 3 now, they had one week of more data to get this thing worked out

    oh and MERGE
     
  6. MikeHoncho

    MikeHoncho -=| Censored |=- Club Member

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    This

    And this.
     
  7. AbideN703

    AbideN703 Yes, I'd hit it

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    Accusuck had the Vikings winning last week. Let's pull all our money on what Accusuck has to say, I say.
     
  8. siciliansith

    siciliansith Resident Deviant

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    I like the Jets Defense but know way they are under 100 yards combined imo
     
  9. BayAreaFinFan

    BayAreaFinFan D'oh

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    That has been the formula all year run, run, and run some more. Don't put Henne in the position to lose us the game or put it on him to have to win it, has been the staffs philosophy. Personally I'd love to see Henning open things up and get Marshall involved early and really cut Henne loose.
     
  10. rafael

    rafael Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    I believe that last year they finished around 59%. That's actually very impressive. That being said they are always less accurate at the beginning of the season. Their data relies on stats that are less prone to anomalies with a larger sample. I would say that for the first three weeks of the year they are probably no better than a coin flip. I do, however, believe that Miami is far more likely to win this game than the Jets are. Before I ever saw their prediction, I felt that the Dolphins are more likely than not to rush for more than 100 yards and that Sanchez was more likely than not to throw an interception or two. I felt that if both of these events happened (or even one of them) that the Dolphins were likely to win. Its the NFL so any given Sunday... but IMO the Dolphins win this game 7 out of 10 times.
     
  11. padre31

    padre31 Premium Member Luxury Box

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    I like AccuScore's ability to simply give a coherent reason why a team may win or lose a game not for the specific (phins by +5).

    Typically the pundits on the Sunday shows just shoot from the lip with no logic at all behind what they are saying so it's nice to have some basis for making a prediction, rightly or wrongly.
     
    MikeHoncho likes this.
  12. CrunchTime

    CrunchTime Administrator Retired Administrator

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    They are pretty good when its midseason and when they have enough stats to employ but two weeks worth of stats is not enough of a sampling to make a valid projection IMO.

    They predicted a Viking win last week and I said at that time that their stats from last year which they factored in should not count .They were a good run-stop team last year but things change as the actual game demonstrated .
     
  13. The Aqua Crush

    The Aqua Crush New Member

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    I think accuscore would be more lopsided for the dolphins if they would have inputed the FEED THE WOLF Factor.
     
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  14. JMORGAN6977

    JMORGAN6977 New Member

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    All I want to see is Marshall bust loose on first play for a TD and punts the ball into some jet fans face!
     
  15. JMORGAN6977

    JMORGAN6977 New Member

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    Yes it does read exponentials right?
     
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  16. CaribPhin

    CaribPhin Guest

    I hate all predictions not done through a methodical mathematical process of drinking a lot of beers.
     
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  17. DOLPHAN1

    DOLPHAN1 Premium Member Luxury Box

    Sam....Sam....

    Anyone seen Sam?

    :shifty:
     

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