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Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by PhinsFanWife, Dec 14, 2008.
Check out the Miami / SF forecast for today's game:
NFL Home Page | AccuScore
Amazing how "Acuscore" actually covers the 6 to 6.5 point spread. Makes me think "Acuscore" equals Las Vegas Bookie.
That's nice to hear. I have a quick question though, can someone explain to me how a team can get .3 points? Also, how do we allow .7 points?
They only get 7/10ths of the ball into the endzone?
Just meant as an interesting read and something fun to play with -- I'd not heard of it before and didn't know if others had or not.
I like contradictory faith they have in the Dolphins making it into the playoffs.
Plus, the whole 35.7% chance of winning the East isn't that far off from the 33% chance with even odds between the three.
I was just saying that on another forum the other day, lol. Their NFL spreads, O/U, NHL ML and puck lines, NBA lines are all VERY similar to the Vegas lines. I've been doing an analysis of that site in how many games it calls "right", and it's more or less 50/50.
People give that site WAY too much credit. If you could pick even 55% winners over a very long haul, you'd be a millionaire in years. No way is anyone giving a program out for free that could spit out even 55% winners.
So I guess what I'm saying is going by Accuscore is the same thing as saying "Vegas has us favored, means we're going to win". Not always true.
I'm not sure if you're joking or being sarcastic, but assuming you're actually asking, here's the answer:
Showing Miami with 22.3 points, you can think of it like this: it would mean that there's a 30% chance we would score 23 points, and a 70% chance we'd score 22 points. Hence, the 22.3 "average" score.
Likewise, showing KC with 15.7 points, is saying there's a 70% chance they score 16 points, and 30% chance they score 15 points, hence the "average" of 15.7 points.
This is a simplified way to explain it, but the concept is the same.
Doesn't mean nothing.
It had us beating the Patriots few weeks back.