"AccuScore" has us winning by a score of 22.3 - 15.7
9 replies
Georgia Finforum_veteranAmazing how "Acuscore" actually covers the 6 to 6.5 point spread. Makes me think "Acuscore" equals Las Vegas Bookie.
It's the gift that keeps on giving.
That's nice to hear. I have a quick question though, can someone explain to me how a team can get .3 points? Also, how do we allow .7 points?
dolpns13New Member"alen1 wrote:
That's nice to hear. I have a quick question though, can someone explain to me how a team can get .3 points? Also, how do we allow .7 points?
They only get 7/10ths of the ball into the endzone? :wink2:
PhinsFanWifeNew MemberJust meant as an interesting read and something fun to play with -- I'd not heard of it before and didn't know if others had or not.
shula_guyNew Member"dolpns13 wrote:
They only get 7/10ths of the ball into the endzone? :wink2:
:lol:
"When plunder becomes a way of life for a group of men living together in society, they create for themselves in the course of time a legal system that authorizes it and a moral code that justifies it."
Frederic Bastiat
I like contradictory faith they have in the Dolphins making it into the playoffs.
Miami Dolphins – AccuScore projects the ‘Phins to have a 35.7 percent chance of winning the East, tops in the division. However, if you look at the playoff projection, they have the lowest of their rivals at 46.8 percent. Going into Kansas City this week will not be easy, but a win and their postseason hopes all come down to a final week showdown as Chad Pennington will head back to New York in an attempt to keep his former team sitting at home in January.
Plus, the whole 35.7% chance of winning the East isn't that far off from the 33% chance with even odds between the three. :lol:
"Georgia Fin wrote:
Amazing how "Acuscore" actually covers the 6 to 6.5 point spread. Makes me think "Acuscore" equals Las Vegas Bookie.
I was just saying that on another forum the other day, lol. Their NFL spreads, O/U, NHL ML and puck lines, NBA lines are all VERY similar to the Vegas lines. I've been doing an analysis of that site in how many games it calls "right", and it's more or less 50/50.
People give that site WAY too much credit. If you could pick even 55% winners over a very long haul, you'd be a millionaire in years. No way is anyone giving a program out for free that could spit out even 55% winners.
So I guess what I'm saying is going by Accuscore is the same thing as saying "Vegas has us favored, means we're going to win". Not always true.
"alen1 wrote:
That's nice to hear. I have a quick question though, can someone explain to me how a team can get .3 points? Also, how do we allow .7 points?
I'm not sure if you're joking or being sarcastic, but assuming you're actually asking, here's the answer:
Showing Miami with 22.3 points, you can think of it like this: it would mean that there's a 30% chance we would score 23 points, and a 70% chance we'd score 22 points. Hence, the 22.3 "average" score.
Likewise, showing KC with 15.7 points, is saying there's a 70% chance they score 16 points, and 30% chance they score 15 points, hence the "average" of 15.7 points.
This is a simplified way to explain it, but the concept is the same.
TiP54New MemberDoesn't mean nothing.
It had us beating the Patriots few weeks back.
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