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Actually I'm going to go ahead and leave on my own this time. You all take care. :)
What you all are skirting around the edges of here is good old passer rating, which combines completion percentage, YPA, TDs, and INTs. There is...
Happy to admit it. We'll see how long I last. People will have to judge for themselves whether the kinds of contributions I'm making add value...
This above is a legitimate consideration in my opinion, because when you look at statistics that measure quarterback play while adjusting for the...
It's tough to attribute the team's success to that, though, when the Dolphins enjoyed about a +1.5 turnover margin per game during that period, a...
What I mean is that when you look at Tannehill's performance overall during the period in which the team was 7-2, his performance was consistent...
Matt Moore won there in 2011, when it was 31 degrees and snowing.
What Tannehill did during that period though is consistent with the 7-2 record the team had. The negative point differential was attributable...
His performance statistically during that period of time was no different from his performance during the last 13 games of 2014. In between was a...
If he's traded, his 2017 cap hit is $6.9M, reflecting a cap savings of roughly $13.1M.
Those are good points. The effect of Gase is going to be situated in an equation consisting of PREEXISTING QB ABILITY + GASE + [OR -] SURROUNDING...
The point I made originally was that if Gase could coax 110 out of a 103 guy, that would be a vast improvement over coaxing 95 out of an 88 guy....
I respectfully disagree. Also consider that the team is investing a huge monetary expenditure in a head coach whose selling point was his ability...
It's been done 14 times by a QB with 300 or more passing attempts in a season, and 12 of those were since 2004, when the league changed the rules...
Consider however that Adam Gase may be supporting Tannehill publicly because of pressure from the front office, and that if Matt Moore is wildly...
Yes. And now do the same kinds of numbers, but using passer rating differential, and then consider what the team could do to improve the pass...
And that rests in part on the defense. You can't have a run-heavy game if the other team is running away with it. Again this is the way the...
OK I was talking about the context of the first post and whether Tannehill is the right choice moving forward. I think it's a legitimate question...
Big difference for a team, though, when its QB has a passer rating of 110 over a season, and when its QB has one of 95, thus my point earlier....
I think the issue here comes down to whether Gase thinks his tutelage can get a lot more out of another QB than it can out of Tannehill. Consider...
And this is a great analysis. Certainly there is a reason Matt Moore has never been a long-term starting quarterback, and eye discipline (leading...
The reason debates like these happen is because we're debating the inherently ambiguous. We're debating the play of two quarterbacks who have...
What keeps opposing linebackers and safeties honest against the stretch run plays the Dolphins were effective with is the play-action to the...
My God, this team's winning a playoff game sounds like something from another galaxy. I'm not saying it can't happen, it's just been so long that...
Here are the highlights: http://www.buffalobills.com/video/videos/Dolphins-vs-Bills-highlights/c4954e79-4462-4754-8f12-d79594288291 Replete with...
In 2011 Matt Moore started at Buffalo on December 18th. The temperature was 31 degrees, and Buffalo was favored by 1.5 points. Moore was 10 for...
Boy it's going to be tough to beat the Patriots in a couple weeks. Here today they have Brady held to an uncharacteristically poor game, and...
And you have to think he's distinguishing Moore from Tannehill there, which is problematic because Tannehill's emasculation in that regard was...
Assuming the team is going forward with Tannehill, which I think is a good assumption, I would target a tight end in the first round and...
No neither of them isn't, but with Tannehill you won't get the same interception-proneness. Moore will lose games for you that Tannehill won't.
The seam-busting tight end would make the biggest difference in my opinion. Yes the linebackers are a priority too.
And that'll work with Moore when it comes against an opposing defense that's gameplanning to stop the run, and/or has to stay honest against the...
Last night Moore did something very uncharacteristic for him, and very rare in the league in general. For his career Moore's TD rate is 4.7%...
They likely did gameplan to stop the run and make Moore beat them, but at no point in the game was the scoreboard such that the Jets knew the...
That game went according to script for Moore's needs, which was comprised primarily of a scoreboard that never made the Dolphins' offense have to...
I think those are good points. With Moore I think you leave fewer plays on the field, because he's thinking more aggressively and willing to take...
I don't think so either, and I agree that Tannehill has capabilities Moore does not. My point is only that when one guy is absorbing 10% of the...
But again I think that's what people are tuning in to here in having this sort of discussion. What you're asking is "can you really distinguish...
Those are excellent numbers. The Patriots have the best win percentage in the league since 2004 (77.5% wins), and during that period their...
No doubt. The really big deal at this point is that the team finally has a head coach who inspires some respect in his ability and his authority,...
I think that's true, but if so, I think you then have to move to the fact that one of those QBs will account for more than 10% of the team's...
You're right. I should qualify that. Moore is typically an unsuccessful game manager, due to his interception rate, whereas Tannehill is...
I'm not sure Tannehill could've done much better last night, unless the gameplan would've called for a great deal more passing that resulted in...
I'm feeling good only about the fact that the team seemed to rally around the backup QB and provide for him the circumstances within which to...
Any team with a game manager QB is going to need a tremendous defense to go far in the playoffs, and you're right, this team doesn't have it,...
And that's your formula for Moore. You have to play good defense, which allows you to have offensive balance, and Moore has to be productive with...
If Moore continues to play this way, what's your opinion on Tannehill's future with the team when you consider his future salary cap hits, what...
Yes Petty played awfully, but the margin of victory (21 points) was fueled mainly by the combination of Petty's poor play and Moore's excellent...
All four of the TD passes were very crisp and decisive. You had the bomb to Stills, and three darts to Landry and Sims. There was also the very...
This is a very well thought out and sensible post. The issue though is that the rest of the season is also a small sample size. This is all very...
There is some evidence for your perspective, in that when the Dolphins faced the Jets earlier in the year, coming off the two, 200+ yard games by...
That was the sort of controversy I was speaking of earlier. If you have a guy who just got you into the playoffs with a run of three wins, there...
I'm not sure about that. Moore's career interception rate prior to the game was 3.6%. Last night it was 5.5%. He threw more than his typical...
We should probably define controversy first. My definition is whether the media discusses it.
At that point you'll likely have somewhat of a QB controversy, where it'll be tough to sit the guy who's engineered a December playoff run, in...
That was Matt Moore's third 21-point or more win in 13 starts with the Dolphins (23%). Tannehill has six in 77 starts (8%).
One catch in 7 targets.
Doesn't hurt that the opposing QB is playing horribly.
Big, big play. That puts an awful lot of pressure on Bryce Petty here, and takes Powell out of the game on the ground a good bit.
Moore is a 3.6% career INT rate passer. He's about double that now in this game.
Moore off his back foot there.
The Jets are an imbalanced 27 passes to 11 runs so far. Can't see how they can win that way with Bryce Petty at QB. Dolphins are a balanced 12...
Turnover margin has averaged +1 in the 8 wins this year. In the 5 losses it's been -2. Tonight +2.
Matt Moore with an outstanding first half.
Nice aggressiveness there!
Dolphins were favored by 3, and are winning by 3 at the half.
One more unanswered TD should do it against Bryce Petty.
Notice that whenever Landry has little or no role in the offense, it stalls.
Offense looking very inept so far. No running game, no passing game.
That's the sort of stuff you may see more of with a fourth-round QB who's thrown about a hundred NFL passes.
That drive should've ended with a holding call on third and long on the other side of the field.
I'd say that was a coincidence. The Dolphins enjoyed a +1.5 turnover margin per game during the next six games (the win streak), a figure that...
He's definitely played great over the past eight games. It's interesting, though, that there is no meaningful difference between the way he's...
Thanks very much. I figured Tannehill was significantly better. The interesting thing for me, again, is whether the effect Gase had on Cutler in...
And you should be. In the Dolphins' eight wins this season, their QB rating differential has averaged +30. In their five losses it's averaged...
Really the whole team (running game and defense) will have to come to play, and should come to play, as when any starting QB is hurt. The whole...
The Chiefs are able to restrict Alex Smith to that sort of game manager role by playing good defense, utilizing the running game, and having Smith...
Moore's career interception rate is 3.6%. Cutler's career interception rate without Gase has been 3.4%. With Gase it was 2.3% Tannehill's...
The interesting thing about Moore in my opinion is that the job Adam Gase did with Jay Cutler is exactly the job he'll have to do with Moore to...