http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/local/broward/sfl-0819kitesurf,0,7114998.story has this vid been posted?
Fay-Spawned Tornado Injures 2 People, Damages 51 Homes Since we discussed this exact possibility earlier in this thread; http://www.local6.com/weather/17233706/detail.html
man, had a nice long post ready last night ...TWICE the power blipped.. I went to bed. Mal, we had one down south too, here is a video; http://www.truveo.com/Fay-tornado-destroys-horse-clinic/id/1619877304 well.. Fay did the extraordinary.. she intensified over land... here is Dr. Masters blog from last night that I "tried" to post then. Dr. Masters has been calling Fay the "Joker" for 4-5 days now because she has made everyone and their computer model look like an idiot this last week; http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1033&tstamp=200808 for now, Fay is maybe stalled right on top of Melbourne Florida. Models have it briefly into the Atlantic, then back across Florida "maybe" back into the GoM. Here is the current radar from Melbourne;
The track is only slightly south of where it was predicted to exit the peninsula, which is good for my family in T'ville but sucks for my friends in Melbourne.
The thing is, if the CoC get's offshore it could intensify.. and because of slow movement could impact both areas.. it IS headed toward T-ville, but the very worse is minimal hurricane, the big threat being tornadoes and flooding. I got ten inches here yesterday, and some made it into the cottage.. things were lively for a while.
yeah, no complaints. flights were up in the air on monday night but glad i wasnt impacted. rain yesterday but only slightly cloudy today so far.
south Florida cleared out pretty early.. I got caught in that coastal "train" a little further north that brought 10+ inches of rain
It sucks that the storm has stalled half in the water. Its going to keep its juice as long as it stays over the water prob. How far from Tampa is the storm?
Fay Becoming 'Catastrophic' Flood Event; 30 Inches Of Rain Expected http://www.local6.com/weather/17246011/detail.html This is another reason why you never underestimate a storm that, on the face and 100+ miles away, looks rather tame.
Stay safe guys! If your in flood prone areas especially get your stuff protected and ready and be ready to move if needed!
Well, it looks to be coming right over me now... Not that we don't need the rain here in G'ville, but the wife has to work on Thurs. and Fri., and I seriously doubt that her job will close down if and when it does come across us. Hopefully it'll stay pretty weak, but we'll see. It's not her I'm worried about necessarily, it's all the other idiots driving out there that scare me. They just don't understand that a bus handles differently in TS weather.
Silver lining: judging from all the damn water restriction guidelines they keep coming up with, I think we needed it.
Here is the storm total for the Melbourne, Satillite Beach area.. Notice the light blue/grey.. 20 plus inches and STILL falling On some weather blogs they are saying more than 25 inches... that's a LOT of rain in 24 hours. Most models have Fay pushing west over the state maybe impacting as far south as Tampa, but more likely the panhandle will get it. The fear is that Fay will get to the GoM and strengthen.. I think wind shear will tear it up.. we'll see.. the map..
ok.. had some water get in.. The shingle roof is OLD, and some tabs lifted and the ceilings got wet, had to move some electronics and such until I could effect a repair.. in the rain.. BUT.. not harm done to the son dog or me..
So...I'm guessing the rain is putting all the muck fires and such out that have plagued FL in recent months? That's a good thing, but my understanding is it's too much of a good thing all at once. Hope there's not too much damage from flooding.
http://www.local6.com/weather/17244086/detail.html Flooding...and alligators! Not a good combination.
Glad to hear it Marty. I've been thinking about you and keeping you in my prayers. You just keep safe.
All of you down there be careful. Some of the after effects of storms and flooding are as bad as, or worse, than the storm itself.
Thanks Deb. Well, Fay has finally decided to move off the Cape and begin it's trek back across Florida. She was weakened considerably but has in the last 12 hours or so re-established it's windfield and the whole southern part of the state has now lit back up and is seeing feeder bands again. The shear from the ULL that suppressed the west side is now gone so the GoM is now being tapped for the first time. Part of a feeder band is over me here in Jensen, and the wind has just risen from <5 to maybe 15mph, gusts to 25. Here is a current 1300est sat image; The eye of convection is HUGE, Gainesville is in the eyewall and the eye is only 1/3 back onto the coast. While Fay sat on top of Melbourne/Canaveral/Titusville the eye wall storms just pounded the area with 25-26 inches of rain and the entire system is flooded something terrible. Here is the landfall loop to current 12:41 est The forecast track is a mess, as it has been the entire time with Fay. The fear of course is the GoM, and it's warm water. Most tracks have it on, or close enough to the panhandle to restrain serious developement. Fay is one for the record books and she's not nearly done. Strengthened over land, caused tornados, serious flooding.. has sat on us for four days and it looks like another one at the least. Quite a mess for a storm that never made it to even minimal hurricane status. I can see the NHC retiring this name when it's all done and finished. Here are the spagetti models, this is a live link and I "think" will stay current. I found an interesting satelitte loop at CIMSS, from the University of Wisconsin Madison. This blog goes into the reasons that Fay intensified over land. The GOES 12 loop I wanted to show you is to large for photobucket, so you will have to visit if you want to see it. http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/blog/archives/772 Well, to y'all in the Florida panhandle, lower Alabama, lower Missip, and New Orleans.. heads up, Fay is headed your way, get your snorkles out.
It has been an amazing storm. Strengthening over land is almost unhead of. I'm interested in reading the theory behind that.
It was still somewhat over the ocean too though. I think thats where it got its strenght. Plus its stalled which made it even worse.
How bad is this going to confuse cubans swimming in. Swim for The shore, swim for the shore! Where the hell is the SHORE!!!????
