1. This site uses cookies. By continuing to use this site, you are agreeing to our use of cookies. Learn More.

Is the deep ball that important?

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by speed, Dec 3, 2014.

  1. vt_dolfan

    vt_dolfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

    Ryan Tannehill will be the first one to criticize his own play. One thing he does not do is back away from criticism, and he usually fixes what ever he sets his mind to.
     
  2. PhinFan1968

    PhinFan1968 To 2020, and BEYOND! Club Member

    You're not a Dolphins fan...you're a Marino fan...look up the word.
     
  3. Fins Hipster

    Fins Hipster Banned

    272
    92
    0
    Nov 7, 2014
    I have to wonder if he's making the "aggressive" pre-snap read, finding the single covered man, especially when it's Wallace, and overruling the read progression and targeting that guy right after the snap. There are times when a QB has to recognize that a receiver is likely to win in a certain situation, and then make up his mind to simply get the ball in the air downfield in that direction after he's planted his back foot. I'm not sure Tannehill is making those kinds of "aggressive" decisions when looking at the defense before the snap. Now, if so, that may be because he's been instructed to go through his read progression instead; we don't know.
     
    dolphin25 likes this.
  4. ToddPhin

    ToddPhin Premium Member Luxury Box Club Member

    42,442
    24,982
    113
    Jul 6, 2012
    NC
    Oh knock it off. There's an aspect of Tannehill's game that's still lagging behind, and unquestionably it's his deep ball, or anything beyond 25 yards to be more precise. His mechanics and touch were off badly last year to anyone watching who knows what they're looking at, and it's clearly still a work in progress. That's why, compared to our parent offense [Philly], Lazor's offense here has devolved into a dink-and-dunk quick pass game despite the true nature of it being significantly more downfield-oriented than it currently is. Since you mention Andrew Luck, I'll add his team below as well.

    [TABLE="class: grid, width: 800"]
    [TR]
    [TD][/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]20+ yard receptions / NFL Rank[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]40+ yard / Rank[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]20 & 40+ / rank[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD="align: center"]2014 Miami[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]27/ 29th[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"] 1 / 31st[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]28 /30th[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD="align: center"]2013 Philly[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]80 / 1st [/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]18 / 1st[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]98 / 1st[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD="align: center"]2014 Indy[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]62 / 1st[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]13 / 3rd[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]75 / 1st[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD="align: center"]Avg of top 16 teams[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]45------[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]10------[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]55------[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [/TABLE]
    As you can plainly see, Miami's combined completions of 20+ and 40+ are half that of the top 16 team's average, are eye-gougingly off the pace of our parent offense's, and barely edge out the Jets [27] and Raiders [25]. But yeah, you're right- everything's dandy; nothing to see here folks; move along. :unsure:


    Some people will try to obfuscate this issue by falsely arguing that Miami's reduction in downfield passing was intentionally done for efficiency reasons, however, Philly's offense quickly disproves that notion by ranking 3rd in offensive points per game last year [26.5], not to be confused with overall pts per game. Compare that to Miami's current 22.9 pts [ranked 12th]. That 3.6 point differential translates to an additional 58 points over the course of a season, much of which can come on game-changing downfield TDs. Case in point:

    [TABLE="class: grid, width: 760"]
    [TR]
    [TD="align: center"]throws of 20+ yards[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]QB Rating[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]completions
    [/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]attempts[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]%[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]TD[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]INT[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]yards[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]y/a[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD="align: center"]Tannehill[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]36.6[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]6[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]31[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]19.4[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]2[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]191[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]6.2[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD="align: center"]2013 Philly[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]109.3[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]29[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]75[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]38.7[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]16[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]3[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]1002[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]13.6[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD="align: center"]Luck[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]116.8[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]25[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]54[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]46.3[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]7[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]2[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]853[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]15.8[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD="align: center"]Manning[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]134.4[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]20[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]41[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]48.8[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]0[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]760[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]18.5[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD="align: center"]Brady[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]76.2[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]7[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]35[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]20.0[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]3[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]277[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]7.9[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [/TABLE]
    *Brady at least has an excuse. He's had nothing to throw to downfield until LaFell's recent emergence, and he's had minimal practice reps with LaFell compared to Tannehill and Wallace.


    [TABLE="class: grid, width: 760"]
    [TR]
    [TD="align: center"] throws of 30+ yards
    (since it's a better representation
    of the deep ball and more specifically
    involves Wallace's elite skill set)
    [/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]


    QB Rating
    [/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]


    completions
    [/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]


    attempts
    [/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]


    %
    [/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]


    TD
    [/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]


    INT
    [/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]


    yards
    [/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]


    y/a
    [/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD="align: center"]Tannehill[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]2.4[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]14[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]7.1[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]0[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]2[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]50[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]3.6[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD="align: center"]Roethlisberger '09-12 [/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]99.4[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]31[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]89[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]34.8[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]17[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]5[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]1496[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]16.8[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [TR]
    [TD="align: center"]Luck[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]100.4[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]7[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]18[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]38.9[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]2[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]272[/TD]
    [TD="align: center"]15.1[/TD]
    [/TR]
    [/TABLE]
    Care to try and argue your way out of a paper bag some more on the subject of Tannehill's deep ball?... or how it's somehow better than Luck's? I watch Luck on a weekly basis b/c he's my starting fantasy QB. His touch and accuracy on the deep ball is significantly better than Tannehill's at this juncture, and when he misses, it's usually by inches, not feet or yards.


    There are some who believe Miami's redzone offense could tolerate an improvement. Well, when you complete a handful of TDs beyond 20 yards, the offense bypasses the redzone. No need to settle for a FG, miss a FG, turn the ball over, or worry about whether or not to go for it on 4th down at the goal line. It's just an automatic TD.
     
  5. DPlus47

    DPlus47 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

    16,344
    4,507
    113
    Jul 14, 2008
    The deep ball leaves you more room to be less than perfect throughout the game. If you don't have it in your arsenal, you're operating with a smaller margin for error than those who do have it.
     
    dolphin25 likes this.
  6. Fin-Omenal

    Fin-Omenal Initiated

    36,936
    10,264
    0
    Mar 25, 2008
    Thee...Ohio State University
    And yet after reading ^^^^^^^

    The same few people will chime in claiming it's not an issue.

    Well done TP
     
    dolphin25 and ToddPhin like this.
  7. bigbry

    bigbry Huge Member

    5,278
    3,071
    0
    Dec 18, 2008
    Colorado
    2.4? really

    Not bad
     
    ToddPhin likes this.
  8. PhinFan1968

    PhinFan1968 To 2020, and BEYOND! Club Member

    Yep...it needs improvement...so do the receivers. The team as a whole isn't great at it.

    But to the OP point, how important is it? Those teams you referenced have either the same record we do, or within a game (Indy) or two (Philly).

    I'd love to see it improve also, but not worried about it as a "thing." They are mastering the intermediate/short stuff...where every team has a predominate amount of passing attempts. I'll take that over the bomb.
     
  9. resnor

    resnor Derp Sherpa

    16,352
    9,890
    113
    Nov 25, 2007
    New Hampshire
    Correction: some will give reasons why it's not all Tannehill...
     
    dolphin25 and PhinFan1968 like this.
  10. CashInFist

    CashInFist Well-Known Member

    10,069
    2,624
    113
    Nov 30, 2007
    West Virginia
    It's about freakin time you did a few lines of coke and came to the party. Lol

    You're preaching to the choir with me, Fin-Omenal and a few others. I'm gonna go out on a limb here and expect several other members here do criticize, make lame excuses, call you names (1968?? LOL), and probably blame it on George Bush (FinD?). But anyone that actually watches the games without Aqua/Orange shades can see this.

    BTW, did you save me a couple of lines?
     
    dolphin25 and ToddPhin like this.
  11. RickyNeverInhaled

    RickyNeverInhaled Well-Known Member

    6,771
    1,680
    113
    Mar 15, 2009
    Alabama
    I have nothing to say except this looks bad. Clearly it's because this breaks it down to more specific deep ball passes compared to the ones that lump them all together with 20+ yard passes.
     
    Fin-Omenal likes this.
  12. muskrat21

    muskrat21 Well-Known Member

    1,407
    874
    113
    May 11, 2014
    under bill lazor, nick foles and the eagles were criticized for not taking deep chances.... Lazor comes to miami, people criticize miami for not taking deep chances, meanwhile in philly they chuck is deep all the time now....
     
  13. CashInFist

    CashInFist Well-Known Member

    10,069
    2,624
    113
    Nov 30, 2007
    West Virginia
    It's ok. We saved a seat for you. Lol
     
    dolphin25 and RickyNeverInhaled like this.
  14. PhinFan1968

    PhinFan1968 To 2020, and BEYOND! Club Member

    Make sure to pass out complimentary fleshlights for whenever a deep pass doesn't connect.
     
  15. Fin-Omenal

    Fin-Omenal Initiated

    36,936
    10,264
    0
    Mar 25, 2008
    Thee...Ohio State University
    And they will be snickered at....because nobody is saying its "all" Tannehill.
     
  16. PhinFan1968

    PhinFan1968 To 2020, and BEYOND! Club Member

    LOL...right.
     
    resnor likes this.
  17. Fin-Omenal

    Fin-Omenal Initiated

    36,936
    10,264
    0
    Mar 25, 2008
    Thee...Ohio State University

    And the backtracking begins!!!

    No worries, just remember we ALL want Ryan to do well...the agenda is winning.
     
    dolphin25 likes this.
  18. PhinFan1968

    PhinFan1968 To 2020, and BEYOND! Club Member

    Mine isn't backtracking at all. I've always maintained he's not great at it, but also not horrible, and his receivers don't help him out there...too many bread-basket/highly catchable drops this year on the deep stuff. Then again I don't watch with the preconceived notion that "he" sucks at deep passing, nor am I delusional enough to expect Marino II. He's closer to average, or average at it, his receivers this year, on those passes (25+) have been below average.
     
    resnor likes this.
  19. CashInFist

    CashInFist Well-Known Member

    10,069
    2,624
    113
    Nov 30, 2007
    West Virginia
    Jeez you must have a hardon for me, or maybe my hot girlfriend. Well, you can't have her, but maybe I'll let you "Look" at one of my 100's of exes. I say only look because they wouldn't have you. Lmao

    Back on topic. You can't dink and dunk your way to a Super Bowl victory. You HAVE to be able to throw deep.
     
  20. PhinFan1968

    PhinFan1968 To 2020, and BEYOND! Club Member

    Brady says hi.
     
    resnor likes this.
  21. CashInFist

    CashInFist Well-Known Member

    10,069
    2,624
    113
    Nov 30, 2007
    West Virginia
    Nice job cropping out the first part of my post. Put that little thing away young man! Lol
     
  22. PhinFan1968

    PhinFan1968 To 2020, and BEYOND! Club Member

    It was pretty lame...highly unworthy of mention, therefore.
     
    resnor likes this.
  23. CashInFist

    CashInFist Well-Known Member

    10,069
    2,624
    113
    Nov 30, 2007
    West Virginia
    It's true though...
     
  24. RickyNeverInhaled

    RickyNeverInhaled Well-Known Member

    6,771
    1,680
    113
    Mar 15, 2009
    Alabama
    I will only sit on that seat with one butt cheek while farting in your general direction! lol. Those numbers can't be argued with. Todd did a good job with it, I've always respected his opinion back from our days in another forum. It's nice to see someone use the correct stats to argue a point, those 20+ yard stats just don't paint the right picture. I still would argue the importance of it, there is more ways to win games like we've been doing but it would definitely be a nice compliment to our game.
     
    PhinFan1968 likes this.
  25. Fin-Omenal

    Fin-Omenal Initiated

    36,936
    10,264
    0
    Mar 25, 2008
    Thee...Ohio State University
    I will be waiting for ANY clip of a deep breadbasket pass by RT this year....waiting?
     
    dolphin25 likes this.
  26. CashInFist

    CashInFist Well-Known Member

    10,069
    2,624
    113
    Nov 30, 2007
    West Virginia
    Well, at least you didn't call me a nasty name. Lol
     
  27. Disgustipate

    Disgustipate Season Ticket Holder Club Member

    31,633
    55,699
    113
    Nov 25, 2007
    This again doesn't really address pertinent issues that have been brought up repeatedly.

    In 2012, Ryan Tannehill completed 20 of 51 attempts(43.1%), good for top 10 in the league. He had no difficulties with deep accuracy, it was better than average by a significant margin.

    That same year, Brian Hartline(who is allegedly totally and completely inept) was #8 in the NFL among wide receiver in deep yardage with 421 yards. Mike Wallace put up 263 deep yards in 2012(With Big Ben), 261 in 2013, and has 117 so far in 2014(putting him on pace for 156 for the year, basically a single 20+ yard reception). At this rate his combined deep production as a Dolphin is on pace to match Hartline's 2012 season sometime at the end of his third full year as a Dolphin.

    If you compare Mike Wallace's yards per deep attempt to the rest of the players Tannehill has attempted to throw to deep, the numbers are striking. Wallace is at about 6.75 yards per deep attempt in his Dolphins career. For every other wide receiver(2012-2014) the average is 12.02 yards.

    The emphasis on Wallace is killing the Dolphins deep passing game. His production came from specialized circumstances, not some sort of inherent skill. Maybe if you put him back with Bruce Arians and Big Ben he'd produce like he did in 2011 again, but that's not something the team needs to be chasing. They should be throwing deep to anyone but Wallace at this point.
     
    cuchulainn likes this.
  28. resnor

    resnor Derp Sherpa

    16,352
    9,890
    113
    Nov 25, 2007
    New Hampshire
    Who's backtracking? I've been saying that Tannehill isn't that bad when throwing to those not named Wallace.
     
  29. resnor

    resnor Derp Sherpa

    16,352
    9,890
    113
    Nov 25, 2007
    New Hampshire
    How is it true? Brady won Super Bowls throwing short stuff and having Vinatieri kick field goals, backed by a defense that gave up league low point totals.
     
  30. dWreck

    dWreck formerly dcaf

    5,200
    2,975
    113
    Oct 23, 2011
    Sebring, FL
    I'll wait for a qb that routinely throws them flawlessly with an absolute travesty of an oline. This is also While still waiting for a #1 WR that doesn't have the hands of a nervous middle schooler trying out for a pop warner team.
     
  31. Fins Hipster

    Fins Hipster Banned

    272
    92
    0
    Nov 7, 2014
    I think that's true, though I don't see why there isn't room for the kind of evade-pressure-and-hit-Wallace-deep-when-he's-wide-open plays that were characteristic of he and Roethlisberger in Pittsburgh, which fits with Tannehill's abilities, as well. You may not want to emphasize Wallace on deep timing routes as much as they are now, but I don't see why these other types of plays aren't happening more often.
     
  32. resnor

    resnor Derp Sherpa

    16,352
    9,890
    113
    Nov 25, 2007
    New Hampshire
    Would you take clips of passes hitting Wallace in the hands or face instead?
     
    dWreck likes this.
  33. speed

    speed Banned

    1,699
    179
    0
    Oct 14, 2014
    I am ashamed you are a Buckeye fan.
     
  34. RickyNeverInhaled

    RickyNeverInhaled Well-Known Member

    6,771
    1,680
    113
    Mar 15, 2009
    Alabama
    Have i ever? I only remember arguing with you one time about the same subject. I usually don't resort to name calling so if I did, I apologize. I rarely decide to argue because I know when people make up their minds they usually never change their mind.
     
  35. Fin-Omenal

    Fin-Omenal Initiated

    36,936
    10,264
    0
    Mar 25, 2008
    Thee...Ohio State University
    God u so mad.

    Your starting to hear voices in your head.
     
  36. Fin-Omenal

    Fin-Omenal Initiated

    36,936
    10,264
    0
    Mar 25, 2008
    Thee...Ohio State University
    I live 10 min from the a Shoe...I AM the Buckeyes
     
  37. CashInFist

    CashInFist Well-Known Member

    10,069
    2,624
    113
    Nov 30, 2007
    West Virginia
    No I wasn't talking about you Ricky
     
  38. speed

    speed Banned

    1,699
    179
    0
    Oct 14, 2014
    Buckeye fans know more about football
     
  39. Fin-Omenal

    Fin-Omenal Initiated

    36,936
    10,264
    0
    Mar 25, 2008
    Thee...Ohio State University
    Not all of you. Infact, I have a hard time granting that to anyone that thinks Ryan doesn't struggle with the deep ball.
     
  40. speed

    speed Banned

    1,699
    179
    0
    Oct 14, 2014
    It takes more than the QB to complete a deep pass. Intelligent fans know this.
     

Share This Page