This is odd, has Miami in the 6-hole, with the Bucs below them...doesnt make sense...I am going to assume they are in the 7 hole still... http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nfldraftorder.html
Link makes perfect sense to me, based on their projections. Although it has us 6th, we have the best odds of winding up with 7th.
Its only odd cause its using a BEST GUESSTIMATE of the remaining schedule and guessing at Wins/Losses for each team to PROJECT the draft order vs. using actual games played and waiting for ACTUAL results to finalize the draft order. Once tonight's MNF game is final, we will be able to accurately say where we are in draft order with our 5-9 record thru 15 weeks...but until week 17 ends and all records are actually set to know SoS% and records its all a guess.
thats what I keep thinking, and forgetting they are using projections....I just believe it is odd that they project teams to win another game but dont know that for sure...like Jax, Minny, Carolina etc...
And be on the hook paying a large majority of that 50M guaranteed salary he has? No way....I dont go any higher than a 4th, especially seeing the whole league will now at that point they dont want them...
First, it's my understanding that the Rams have the worst statistical odds of getting the 1st pick by a wide margin (between them, the colts, and Vikes). Not sure if that plays a part in many people not discussing them winding up with the 1st pick very much. Second, why would giving up a couple first round picks for Sam Bradford be a steal? He's done nothing in the NFL to show that he's worth multiple 1st round picks, let alone calling it a steal to get him for such a price. Would it be a steal to give up two first round picks for Colt McCoy or Christian Ponder?
i hate saying this cause he is my favorite player but since Bess isnt utilized in this offense wouldnt it be smart to trade him in the offseason for a pick. we gain a xtra pick that could be used in a deal to move up to get a QB. thoughts apso who else could we do that with?
Correct. According to playoffstatus.com today, the odds for the #1 overall pick are: Colts 97% Vikings 2% Rams 1% I don't think I want to spend very many brain cells talking about the Vikes or Rams having the #1 pick....
No would love to keep him...he hasnt been putting up the numbers, but still you have to account for him... Everyone is probably going to want to kill me for saying it, but I want DeSean Jackson this offseason.....
I will say, Indy is one more win away from throwing a very large monkey wrench into this draft thing...
As of 12/19/11: According to playoffstatus.com, the final PROJECTED spot for the Dolphins would be #7. They're projecting right now as follows: 1. Indianapolis 1-15 (.540) 2. St Louis 2-14 (.590) 3. Minnesota 3-13 (.560) 4. Cleveland 4-12 (.530) 5. Jacksonville 5-11 (.500) 6. Buffalo 5-11 (.520) 7. Miami 5-11 (.520) 8. Tampa Bay 5-11 (.540) 9. Washington 6-10 (.470) 10. Carolina 6-10 (.510) 11. Philadelphia 7-9 (.500) 12. Kansas City 7-9 (.520) 13. Arizona 8-8 (.470) 13. Tennessee 8-8 (.470) 14. Seattle 8-8 (.510) 15. Oakland 8-8 (.510)
Another way to summarize the draft order is by TEAM (playoffstatus.com): Dolphins' odds at being at each draft position: 1, 2, or 3 Impossible 4 "Less than 1%" 5 2% 6 13% 7 31% 8 13% 9 16% 10 19% 11 3% 12 2% 13 1% Realistically, #6 is our BEST CASE, and #10 is our WORST CASE. 92% chance we'll be somewhere in that range.
In general, we want all 4-5 win teams to WIN, and Colts/Rams/Vikings to LOSE. Specifically, this week (week 16), we need: Washington to beat Minnesota (if Wash loses this game, they'll leapfrog us) Tampa to beat Carolina (if Tampa goes 0-2 @Car @Atl, they'll leapfrog us) Buffalo to beat Denver
IMO there will be good QB prospects available at the 12th pick. In fact, I expect that they will be better than any of the prospects outside of Newton in last year's draft. I wouldn't rule out trading up if we liked a particular prospect, but at this point we have no idea if there will be a need. I fully expect that the QB rankings that everybody is speculating on right now will fluctuate wildly by draft time and will vary widely from team to team. I can easily envision scenarios where every single QB prospect outside of Luck could go anywhere from #2 to #12.
So you thinking what Barkley and/or RG slipping to 12? If they dont, isnt 12 high to take Weeden, Tannenhill etc?
Not by draft time. I wouldn't be surprised at all to see Weedon or Tannehill impress at the SB, combine and/or pro days. You can pretty much guarantee that there will be some team that has Barkley as high as #2 (or even #1) and some other team that has him as the 5th best QB. At this point we can't even guess at which teams those are though.
It's not that big of a deal trading a 2013 first is we want the guy. Make the move for Peyton and get the quarterback. Ironically the emergence of John Jerry has been a big help.
Landry Jones cant go anywhere but up at this point. Assuming he declares, even though he still has things he has to work on.
I hope he doesn't declare. I saw so so so many things he needs to improve upon. He has talent, but has a lot of things he needs to get better at such as reading defenses, going through progressions, etc.
jones might be an option if he sits for a year or until he's ready...nothing wrong with letting a rook get some time on the bench, with that said, i still try like crazy to trade down to get barkley or rg3
If the season ended today (none of this projection stuff), we would be in the 9 hole. http://www.gbnreport.com/weeklydraftorder.html 1 Indianapolis 1-13 .536 2 Minnesota 2-12 .567 3 St. Louis 2-12 .589 4 Jacksonville 4-10 .500 5 Cleveland 4-10 .522 6 Tampa Bay 4-10 .545 7 Washington 5-9 .469 8 Carolina 5-9 .504 9 Miami 5-9 .518 10 Buffalo 5-9 .522 11 Philadelphia 6-8 .500 12 Kansas City 6-8 .513
If we beat the Jets to end the yr, all of this is for naught, and I suspect we will beat them. Which will push us into the 10-14 range, which is one of the reasons why this is a bit premature GHead.
Not only are we muddled with 1st round selection, being tied with same record with all these others, hurts our 2-7 round slots as trade chips too.
We are going to rotate in rounds 2-7 with all same record teams....that list could be very long as the next two weeks shake out...first round postion helps, but as far as trade up, each subsequent round pick could impact us if we slide back to the end of a given round based on all these teams with same record.
UPDATED: Another way to summarize the draft order is by TEAM (playoffstatus.com): Dolphins' odds at being at each draft position: 1, 2, or 3 Impossible 4 "Less than 1%" 5 1% ------------------ 6 13% 7 32% 8 12% 9 15% 10 19% ------------------ 11 4% 12 2% 13 1% Realistically, #6 is our BEST CASE, and #10 is our WORST CASE. 91% chance we'll be somewhere in that range.
I dont see us beating the pats and I think we have a shot in the jets game. IF we even do that at 6-10 i think we get the 8th or 9th pick and are fine. Losing out may get us the 6th or 7th and winning out i dont think would put us lower than 11 or 12.
I really like that carolina and the redskins seem to be playing good ball right now..and I really like that our opponents {jets, pats} are playing for serious playoff implications.
New Mock following Barkley staying @ USC announcement..... me no likey!!!! 2012 FIRST-ROUND PROJECTION December 22, 2011 * indicates underclassmen p indicates projected trade First round [TABLE="width: 524"] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD]Team[/TD] [TD]Player[/TD] [TD]POS[/TD] [TD]School[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Indianapolis [/TD] [TD]*Andrew Luck [/TD] [TD]QB[/TD] [TD]Stanford[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Minnesota[/TD] [TD]*Matt Kalil [/TD] [TD]OT[/TD] [TD]Southern California [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3[/TD] [TD]St. Louis [/TD] [TD]*Justin Blackmon[/TD] [TD]WR [/TD] [TD]Oklahoma State [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4P[/TD] [TD]Washington (from Jacksonville)[/TD] [TD]*Robert Griffin[/TD] [TD]QB[/TD] [TD]Baylor[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]5 [/TD] [TD]Cleveland [/TD] [TD]*Trent Richardson[/TD] [TD]RB[/TD] [TD]Alabama[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]6[/TD] [TD]Tampa Bay [/TD] [TD]*Morris Claiborne [/TD] [TD]CB[/TD] [TD]LSU[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]7P[/TD] [TD]Jacksonville (from Washington)[/TD] [TD]Michael Floyd[/TD] [TD]WR [/TD] [TD]Notre Dame[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]8[/TD] [TD]Carolina[/TD] [TD]Devon Still[/TD] [TD]DT [/TD] [TD]Penn State[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]9 [/TD] [TD]Miami[/TD] [TD]Quinton Coples [/TD] [TD]DE [/TD] [TD]North Carolina[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]Buffalo [/TD] [TD]*Riley Reiff [/TD] [TD]OT [/TD] [TD]Iowa[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]11 [/TD] [TD]Philadelphia[/TD] [TD]*David DeCastro[/TD] [TD]OG[/TD] [TD]Stanford[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]12[/TD] [TD]Kansas City[/TD] [TD]*Jonathan Martin[/TD] [TD]OT [/TD] [TD]Stanford[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]13[/TD] [TD]Tennessee [/TD] [TD]*Alshon Jeffrey[/TD] [TD]WR [/TD] [TD]South Carolina[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]14[/TD] [TD]Arizona [/TD] [TD]Courtney Upshaw[/TD] [TD]LB[/TD] [TD]Alabama[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]15[/TD] [TD]Seattle[/TD] [TD]Kendall Wright[/TD] [TD]WR[/TD] [TD]Baylor[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]16[/TD] [TD]San Diego[/TD] [TD]*Dre Kirkpatrick[/TD] [TD]CB [/TD] [TD]Alabama[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]17[/TD] [TD]Cincinnati (from Oakland)[/TD] [TD]*Dontari Poe [/TD] [TD]DT [/TD] [TD]Memphis[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]18[/TD] [TD]NY Giants[/TD] [TD]Alfonzo Dennard[/TD] [TD]CB[/TD] [TD]Nebraska[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]19[/TD] [TD]Chicago[/TD] [TD]Zach Brown[/TD] [TD]LB [/TD] [TD]North Carolina[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]20[/TD] [TD]Cincinnati[/TD] [TD]Cordy Glenn[/TD] [TD]OG [/TD] [TD]Georgia[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]