Not gonna regret it at all. Whichever team has the advantage is CRUSHING the other side on Thursday night. Tonight will be no different. The problem is that people want to see it as being just the home team having the advantage and so one of the games doesn't quite fit. But that's not what it's all about. It's about which team was in good position to have an advantage heading into the game. Did everyone predict that the Giants would be the better team against the Redskins? No. But in hindsight, as we watched Week 5, we can see they certainly were. We don't have the benefit of hindsight in looking at the Colts and Texans. But do we need it? I don't think so. I'm pretty sure that not only is Indy the better team, they're currently PLAYING like a good team...while Houston is starting to peter out after an unnatural start relative to their talent level.
Hmm...well, I'm living dangerously. After they went up 10-0, I hammered Under 51.5. I just think the Colts are going to abuse the Texans tonight and eventually Indy will stop scoring. I'm thinking like a 34-10 final or something.
LOL. Run! Run! Run! I think Pep Hamilton doesn't need much encouragement to run and shorten the game while protecting the lead to be honest.
Not very smart by Luck or the offensive coordinator. I think they were looking at the record book instead of the game. Now it's a two possession game and +2 Houston is alive.
Well at least they are running a lot more. Bad news is they're in scoring position. EDIT: That's Pep Hamilton for ya. Shorten up the game, baby!
Don't be a dummy Phil, that would be intentional grounding and we don't need that! field goal position
Suspended indefinitely. Sounds like a pretty big deal, found out he sold 80 autographs for like $400.
That was a big no-score drive, pinned the Texans down at the 5 yard line too which puts the odds against them. Crossing fingers. Pep Hamilton still shortening up the game for me. Need Bill O'Brien to figure out that he's within reach and doesn't need to drop Fitzpatrick back to pass every single down.
I lost the Under 51.5, lost the Under 58.5, won the Under 61.5, won the Under 68.5 and of course won the Indy -3.5. That was a lot of stress tonight for a low payout. Thursday night man, LOL. Luckily I also won the UCF Moneyline at -170 so I'm feeling OK.
I still think TNF is essentially a good bet to make. Basically you just pick the straight up winner then bet that team to cover. Picking SU carries with it 70+ percent odds. Picking ATS usually only gets you around 53-54 percent over the long run. So if you get to make an ATS pick and have it come out right 70+ percent like a SU pick, that's a good deal. Some folks wouldn't have picked the Giants to win SU over the Redskins, but in hindsight as we've seen the two teams play, that was the right call. It wasn't a fluky outcome. So if you see a TNF matchup where you really think one team wins the game but you just don't know how much, it's a pretty safe bet that it's gonna be more than the spread. Where I'll think twice before getting into again is trying to peg the point totals on TNF. I came out ahead because I went heavier on the Under 61.5 and Under 68.5 than I did the Under 51.5 and Under 58.5, but even so that was nerve racking. The point total thing seems a bit more whacky. But in the end the Colts covered pretty comfortably, and it would've been even a greater victory if not for that botched snap Watt returned for a score. It's not like Watt beat a guy around the edge, stripped the football and ran it back for a score. That was a blown snap that he just picked up and scored.
After the 24 point lead it was looking like another rocking chair bet for me. Then it got close. A little too close for comfort. In the end IND covered with a defense tightened up at the right time. Was worried the AJ fumble would be overturned. Sure looked like it in slow motion but I think the refs made the right call, even though I was surprised they did. I'm doing pretty well on TNF (3-1) and may have to start betting 1.5 or 2 units on the games.
Yeah but even if the AJ fumble had been overturned it would have been 3rd & 20. Not exactly a favorable circumstance for the Texans. AJ really screwed them with that offensive pass interference. But it's hard to criticize because he was so good in the game otherwise.
