Official MLB Offseason Thread

Discussion in 'Other Sports Forum' started by BigDogsHunt, Nov 25, 2008.

  1. Ray Finkle

    Ray Finkle Member

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    While I don't disagree with this post I'm wondering why Papelbon is included on the list as he's been healthy for 2 years since he was shut down in 2006, also Ellsbury too, for him its more about him not producing.

    I also think a big injury issue for the Yankees is Joba who has a history of injuries.
     
  2. BigDogsHunt

    BigDogsHunt Enough talk...prove it!

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    Only because wrists for hitters, and shoulder for pitchers never can ever be viewed as going away permanently. They may be healthy for the remainder of their careers (and I hope they are) but past injuries can provide "nervous" moments in the future.

    Yes, Joba too.

    To be more accurate I could have put Beckett to small and moved Ellsbury to smaller :up:
     
  3. Ray Finkle

    Ray Finkle Member

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    Well again I agree about pitchers and shoulders so you could probably put all pitchers on the 'injury watch list' because really they're all 1 pitch away from an injury but we're just nitpicking here.

    Bottom line is every team has injury risks/concerns and even the healthiest guys in the world could get hurt like Jeter did in whatever year it was with the shoulder on the freak play. The only way to avoid the loss is by having a lot of depth on the bench or in the minors which is something the Sox do have, especially pitching wise as they have 9 guys who could start games that are at the very least average between the majors and minors.

    I'm pretty happy with the way Theo has built this team so far. Yes there are question marks and big ones at that but people are overlooking the fact that the Sox were 1 game away (and really 4 innings away) from getting to the WS with numerous key injuries and a team that was nowhere near 100%. I also think people are also assuming teams like TB will be good just because they were in 2008. A lot happens during those 162 games.

    EDIT: BigDog, did you mean Lowrie (instead of Ellsbury) and his wrist, because he had a broken bone in his wrist last year? Ellsbury did hurt his wrist diving for a ball in June and was out for awhile (and actually started to stink with the ball around that time too). Not sure if you were confused.
     
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  4. BigDogsHunt

    BigDogsHunt Enough talk...prove it!

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    Well more Ellsbury than Lowrie based on how he injured the wrist (jamming it on the dive, etc..)....

    Sure all Pitchers are "Injury Potentials", but the ones that have hurt their shoulder are known concerns vs. simply anticipated.
     
  5. BigDogsHunt

    BigDogsHunt Enough talk...prove it!

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    http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20090109&content_id=3738335&vkey=hotstove2008&fext=.jsp

    Its an arm, but a career year 10 wins isnt much to go crazy over.
     
  6. BigDogsHunt

    BigDogsHunt Enough talk...prove it!

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    http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20090109&content_id=3738811&vkey=hotstove2008&fext=.jsp

    Braves taking aim at Lowe, Kawakami
    Free-agent righty, Japanese star could both end up in Atlanta

    ATLANTA -- The Braves are expected to make an offer to Derek Lowe early next week, but by that time they may have already added Kenshin Kawakami to their starting rotation.

    Multiple Major League sources confirmed on Friday night that the Braves are nearing completion of a deal that would bring Kawakami to Atlanta to strengthen the middle of a rebuilt rotation.
     
  7. Boik14

    Boik14 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    My hunch is that Redding is going to be a depth signing; spot starter/middle reliever type. He seems to pitch well vs the Phils as well for some reason that remains unknown.

    Interesting that Redding pitched much better on the road than at home.

    On the road - 87 innings 78 H 65 K 4.25 ERA
    At Home: 94 innings 117 H 55 K 5.61 ERA

    Maybe he didn't like pitching in front of a half empty stadium?

    My guess is he ends up being a long man a la Darren Oliver in 2006 and the Mets still sign 2 from Lowe/Perez/Wolf. This signing is also leverage to make Wolf/Lowe/Perez think they are all competing for only 1 spot instead of two. When Omar says hes focusing on pitching Im guessing there is more coming then this because there usually is with him. I sincerely doubt Redding or Niese will be the 5th starter in a year when the Mets are opening the new stadium.
     
  8. Ray Finkle

    Ray Finkle Member

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    I don't know, seems to me that a broken bone is more serious than a jammed wrist. Again I think it bothered Ellsbury for awhile but I think he was fine with it as the season went along. I don't consider Ellsbury an injury risk, I consider him a possible offensive risk but not an injury risk.
     
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  9. BigDogsHunt

    BigDogsHunt Enough talk...prove it!

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    That's fair.....I wasnt sure if the two (wrist = offensive struggle) were related on a "hidden" level. I like the kid alot. Lowrie too for that matter.
     
  10. Ray Finkle

    Ray Finkle Member

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    I personally think Ellsbury's struggles had to do in part with his wrist and also pitchers making adjustments and him not, a combo of both. I think he'll be better this year and certain if he gets on base he's a game changer.

    I also like Lowrie a lot and think it's unfair people are writing him off (much like they did with Pedroia in '06 and the beginning of '07). Not every rookie is going to come up like Ryan Braun or Longoria. People need to give these guys some time (and you could replace Lowrie's name with Buchholz or Hughes for that matter too).
     
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  11. BigDogsHunt

    BigDogsHunt Enough talk...prove it!

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    True.....man the similartities between the Yanks and Sox on the field and the struggles/question marks, injury risks/concerns, and hot young guys in similar positions/roles (including minors), and vets on the down side of great careers make this a fun back and forth battle between our franchises.

    I sure expect our arms (and Tex's bat/glove especially) to give us the chance to get back to the top if we stay healthy, and agree about TB, it will be interesting to see if they take a step back from their high-intensity almost perfect series of events that created the buzz last year.

    I am watching Det too, they had everything on paper going into last year and fell flat....do they improve to take the Cent? I dont have a clue on the West!

    So looking forward to spring training and pitchers/catchers reporting....:up:
     
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  12. GreenMonster

    GreenMonster New Member

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    Detroit has no pitching. They didn't have any last year and they hardly addressed the problem. Nice offense though. Edwin Jackson is there #3 starter. The bullpen consists of Zumaya and scrubs with Rodney closing. That is an awful pitching staff.
     
  13. BigDogsHunt

    BigDogsHunt Enough talk...prove it!

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    Perhaps, so who's your money on for the Cent? WSox? or Minn? or CLE?
     
  14. Ray Finkle

    Ray Finkle Member

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    Sox just signed Saito former LAD closer on a 1 year deal for 2 million bucks (with an option) and he could earn another 5 million depending on how well he does or if he stays healthy. Another great low risk high reward signing. Again Saito is an injury risk but when he was healthy he was very good. Add him to the pen with Papelbon, Masterson, Okajima, Delcarmen, Lopez and Ramon Ramirez and that's a high quality pen right there. Again it's an injury risk but it's well worth it.
     
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  15. Ray Finkle

    Ray Finkle Member

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    I like Cleveland and Minnesota personally. If Minnesota wasn't so cheap and tried to control Liriano's arbitration years they would have made the playoffs last year instead of the White Sox.
     
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  16. GreenMonster

    GreenMonster New Member

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    No Kidding huh. Awesome signing, I had no clue we were even in on the guy. With all of the Sox starters healthy our bullpen looks real nice with Masterson and Ramirez in it..
     
  17. GreenMonster

    GreenMonster New Member

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    I will take Minnesota also, although I don't think Cleveland is that far behind. I trust the Twins more that they will be there at the end of the year. The White Sox are ok, but Kenny Williams wants to keep getting younger..
     
  18. Ray Finkle

    Ray Finkle Member

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    I really like the way Theo has been building this team, especially pitching wise. There's a lot of depth and flexibility involved. I really like how this pen could be dominate depending on who's in the rotation and if for some reason Smoltz doesn't have the stamina to be a starter, imagine him coming out of the pen in the 8th to set up Papelbon?

    Again this could all blow up in our faces but its worth the risk/gamble. Also these guys all signed for peanuts and 1 year deals so if they get hurt or stink it's no big deal.
     
  19. BigDogsHunt

    BigDogsHunt Enough talk...prove it!

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    I agree...solid depth...and being that you cant expect all of these "injury risks" to materialize at the same time, its a nice cushion.

    Saw the Yanks signed former rookie of the year Angel Berrora to ML contract...again small signing and may not impact but maybe just maybe a guy that can save a season by returning to form if needed based on injury, etc. They did the same with Josh Johnson (P) and John Rodriquez (OF) and Cash (C) to lesser extent.
     
  20. Ray Finkle

    Ray Finkle Member

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    I don't mean to sound like a Yankee hater but seriously all those guys the Yanks signed pretty much suck. I mean Berrora is nice signing but he's a year out from being one of the worst players in the majors. Cash is a good defensive catcher but if the Yankees are counting on him for anything than they're in big trouble. Jason Johnson, see Cash, Kevin. The guy had a 6.00 ERA in the NL West last year. Plus none of those guys have any upside, again if they spend any time on the MLB roster this year the Yankees might be in big trouble.
     
  21. BigDogsHunt

    BigDogsHunt Enough talk...prove it!

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    I cant disagree, although I have watched many "washed-up" "sucky" players make differences. And I clearly am not resting my season on these guys. I love our farm system, and many of these guys may very well simply be Spring Training fodder....

    Bottomline, you can only carry 25 on the roster until Sept so all these Sox signings have to fit in to that 25 as well, depth is nice, but overrated as well.

    I think Yanks and Sox (no need to hate...LOL) both have the 25 man depth and enough farm talent to not really matter who has the ML deals for depth.
     
  22. Ray Finkle

    Ray Finkle Member

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    No I agree. The Yankees have been very lucky getting a lot of production out of scrubs like Aaron Small, Shawn Chacon, Karim Garcia, Darrell Rasnar, Ponson etc throughout the years.

    The only thing I disagree with is that depth is overrated. You never know when a guy is going to be injuried, traded or stinks. These things always work themselves out all the time, but I'd rather have too many guys. Case in point I thought Cashman did a terrible job last year in regards to the pitching staff and having insurance just in case some of the kids didn't pan out.
     
  23. BigDogsHunt

    BigDogsHunt Enough talk...prove it!

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    Well, old school wise, to me you need 13 arms and 12 bats....

    For Bats, its your starting 8 plus DH, a backup C, a utility INF, and OF.

    For Arms, its your starting 5, 2 Long Relief, 3 mid relief, a 7th, an 8th, and Closer.

    So having lots of depth sounds nice, but if you honestly think about it, not to many teams that have to rotate 20 arms among those 13 spots are successful. Now, thats what I mean by overrated. I love depth, but at some point enough is enough since you most likely wont ever need them or move them up from minors..and ex-major leaguers hate sitting in the minors hoping for the call.

    Trade bait, now there I agree, you can never have enough depth, cause some other org will always go to your well to help them. That I agree.
     
  24. BigDogsHunt

    BigDogsHunt Enough talk...prove it!

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  25. GreenMonster

    GreenMonster New Member

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    I think having depth means less starts from guys that should be starting. Take last years Sox for example JD Drew is hurt (shocker) and we have Manny in LF, Crisp in C, and Ellsbury in right. Now Manny's knee hurts. Sox call up Jonathan Van Every, an every day player from the PawSox. This year when Drew goes down and Baldelli is feeling ill, I will be comfortable with Kotsay filling in, instead of triple A guy...
     
  26. Regan21286

    Regan21286 MCAT's, EMT's, AMCAS, ugh

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    Would've rather had him than Loretta. Shame though. He came here because it was his hometown team growing up. Thought he'd retire before he ever leaves though he batted pretty well for us in the playoffs.
     
  27. BigDogsHunt

    BigDogsHunt Enough talk...prove it!

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    http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20090110&content_id=3739179&vkey=hotstove2008&fext=.jsp

    Braves, Kawakami reach agreement
    Japanese right-hander scheduled to undergo physical Monday

    Could be a nice signing....33 yrs old....nice 3rd or 4th arm.
     
  28. Regan21286

    Regan21286 MCAT's, EMT's, AMCAS, ugh

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    http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/sports_blog/2009/01/dodgers-sign-es.html

    Don't know much about him other than average pitcher.
     
  29. BigDogsHunt

    BigDogsHunt Enough talk...prove it!

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    http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20090110&content_id=3739097&vkey=hotstove2008&fext=.jsp
    Nationals interested in Nady, Swisher
    Washington continues offseason search to add pop to lineup

    That is the big question....I am all for dealing Nady (think he gets the most back in return). Nady is 30, Swisher is 28 and switch hitter with 1b and OF ability.

    Think Swisher in the Yanks lineup can bounce back to his A's days of production in lineup where he isnt the guy....

    I like Nady, he is a steady guy, but his contract isnt great (FA next year) whereas Swisher is locked in for 3 more years.

    The real question is who do you get back in return...CF is what we need to rent....would they deal Lastings Milledge or Elijah Dukes if he can play CF? Is either worth the gamble? Is Austin Jackson the future? Again, I say deal Nady, grab Milledge or Dukes, then next season Damon is gone and your OF is Jackson, Milledge/Dukes, and Swisher. I can live with that.

    Do we get a bullpen arm back if Joba is going to the rotation? Seems NATS dont have much in that dept.

    Lots of questions if this goes down and seeing who we get back!
     
  30. DonShula84

    DonShula84 Moderator Luxury Box

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    Sox are bargain shopping and I like what they're doing tbh. Some of these pitchers they getting stay healthy they'll have a very strong staff/pen. If they dont, it cost them very little.

    edit: just saw Ray beat me to it, oh well.
     
  31. Ray Finkle

    Ray Finkle Member

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    Carrying 13 pitchers is way too much, teams don't need 2 long relievers. Even 12 pitchers in my opinion is pushing it but every team nowadays carries 12.
     
  32. BigDogsHunt

    BigDogsHunt Enough talk...prove it!

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    Well, 12 does seem to be the majority, but from what I see you all are at 13 easy...and that still leaves some guys out. So, I was using 13 to show the 2 Long Relievers are reserve spot starters or injury guys with all these injury risk guys or extra rotation spots.

    13 or 14 hitters for a deeper pinch hitting or rotation bench can work as well (and with Baldelli, Kotsay, Lugu, etc that makes sense)....but Sox have like 15 to 16 arms deep and more than 13 or 14 bats ready as MLB pros that dont expect to be sitting in the minors hoping for the injury bug to push them up (and if they are on the 25 man they may be in unfamiiar roles??):

    1 - Beckett
    2 - Lester
    3 - DiceK
    4 - Wakefield
    5 - Penny

    6) LR - Smoltz?
    7) LR - Buckholz?
    8) MR - Delcarmen
    9) MR - Lopez
    10) MR - Ramirez
    11) SU - Okajima
    12) SU - Saito
    13) CL - Papelbon

    And that leaves out Masterson, Aardsma and Littleton. Just saying depth is nice, but over abundance except for trade bait can bite via chemistry and un/happy soldiers sometimes.
     
  33. BigDogsHunt

    BigDogsHunt Enough talk...prove it!

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    http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20090110&content_id=3739550&vkey=hotstove2008&fext=.jsp

    Marlins may be talking with Martinez

    Three-time Cy Young winner would add veteran presence to young rotation

     
  34. Ray Finkle

    Ray Finkle Member

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    Aardsma and Littleton probably won't make the team anyway. But again Smoltz won't be pitching until May/June and Buchholz probably will start the year in the minors. Masterson will be on the team.

    Like I said this stuff has a way of working itself out as usually Wakefield lands on the DL and the Sox like to rest their pitchers a lot. I'm not worried and they won't have a 13 man staff no matter what as Francona has said many times he even hates 12 man pitching staffs but knows he has to use them.
     
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  35. Boik14

    Boik14 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Thats good news. I love Pedro but this is Willie Mays joining the Mets, the pitching version. Now the Mets get to shell him a few times a year instead of having to pull him after 4 and a 1/3rd of 5 ER/6 BB/4K ball. Hate to say it but it was true last year. And with the acquisition of Redding, I really cant see a spot for Pedro.

    My guess is to expect a trade of some kind, probably for a bat. Thats too many MLB quality bodies and not enough roster spaces.
     
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  36. BigDogsHunt

    BigDogsHunt Enough talk...prove it!

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    LOL...that was fast...hold the phone:

    http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20090111&content_id=3739791&vkey=hotstove2008&fext=.jsp

     
  37. BigDogsHunt

    BigDogsHunt Enough talk...prove it!

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    I still havent found anything mentioning who is the NATS player the Yanks would want and who the NATS would be willing to offer in return!
     
  38. Boik14

    Boik14 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Oh gosh, what great irony if its Lastings Milledge. The guys the Coupon Family ownership was too much of a publicity problem back in NY for Yanks. Talk about the publicity problem the Mets were trying to avoid. :lol:

    This is the first I am hearing of this though.....
     
  39. BigDogsHunt

    BigDogsHunt Enough talk...prove it!

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    :huh::confused1::confused2:
     
  40. BigDogsHunt

    BigDogsHunt Enough talk...prove it!

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    http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20090111&content_id=3739905&vkey=hotstove2008&fext=.jsp

    Young asks Rangers to explore trade
    Request comes after team told shortstop to move to third base

    Wow.....
     

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