Tua...''He's the greatest prospect ever''

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by djphinfan, Sep 27, 2023.

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  1. Puka-head

    Puka-head My2nd Fav team:___vs Jets Club Member

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    Slightly left of center
    And number 1 in our hearts
    upload_2023-12-20_21-4-56.jpeg
     
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  2. Pauly

    Pauly Season Ticket Holder

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    If speed is what is all about why isn't Ted Ginn Jr being measured for his HoF jacket?
     
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  3. hitman8

    hitman8 Well-Known Member

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    No one said speed is what it's all about, but when running a deep route, speed matters.

    Speed is not the only thing that makes a reciever great, but it's a great weapon to have in your arsenal.
     
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  4. Dol-Fan Dupree

    Dol-Fan Dupree Tank? Who is Tank? I am Guy Incognito.

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    no. Just no.
     
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  5. Springveldt

    Springveldt Season Ticket Holder

    I often agree with your takes on football but there is absolutely no way Waddle is a high 4.4 guy, zero chance of it.

    Sauce ran a 4.41 at the combine and just look at the way Waddle blew past him in the first Jets game, he was separating from him after 10 yards. You just have to hear how other NFL players talk about how quick he is to know that he isn’t Trent Sherfield speed.

    Sherfield ran a 4.45 and if you watch the All-22 tape of his long TD against the 49ers last year you can see Waddle moving at a completely different speed to him as he chases him into the end zone.
     
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  6. Two Tacos

    Two Tacos Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Disagree, about Waddle's speed, he is low 4.3 easy. Not speaking to his high school times. Also, that doesn't make the Tua's throw unimpressive. I don't understand that argument. It also doesn't mean that Waddle didn't run a great route, 40 times don't just directly translate to route running. He didn't just run a go. Honestly, it's weird that people think that fast WRs can just run fast in a straight line to get open. They don't just race with the faster playing winning the pass. Both are entitled to the space their body is in, a WR cannot just run through the DB. This is why bigger but slower corners can still shutdown much faster WRs with better technique.



    Here is Waddle racing Ruggs (4.27 combine 40).

    https://www.youtube.com/shorts/dgZSzzbZ7g8
     
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  7. Tuanon4Life

    Tuanon4Life Well-Known Member

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    I just asked McDaniel his thoughts on Waddle's 40 time and he told me to F off and for you all to go F yourselves with all due respect.
     
  8. djphinfan

    djphinfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    I think it was an absolutely perfect 60 yard pass, that’s why we’re taking about it.. from start to finish all parties involved perfection
     
    Last edited: Dec 21, 2023
  9. danmarino

    danmarino Hyperbole or death Club Member

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    Im harping on it because you’re lying, again.

    Of course Waddle is a speed demon. I don’t think you realize how fast a 4.5 40 is. Saying Waddle is in the 4.4’s isn’t a slight. However, he’s closer to what he ran in college (officially) than what he ran in high school while being clocked by someone who benefited from him being recruited. On his best day I just don’t see Waddle running a sub 4.4 40. His top end is extremely fast, and he’s extremely fast from the start, but he’s not Tyreek fast. Tyreek runs a sub 4.4 40.
     
  10. danmarino

    danmarino Hyperbole or death Club Member

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    Which part(s) do you disagree with?
     
  11. danmarino

    danmarino Hyperbole or death Club Member

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    A back peddling DB is at an extreme disadvantage to a WR running straight off the line. I don’t know what either of their top ends are, Waddle does seem faster, but I would bet money Waddle isn’t a sub 4.4 40 guy. I mean, the difference in 4.38 to 4.42 or even 4.45 can be about anything from wind to differing time clocks to the person themself. If you took Waddle, indoors, turf, on his best day, and average out 5 40 yrd tries, I seriously doubt he’s under 4.4.

    In order to run a 4.3 40 a person would need to AVERAGE 19.03 mph. From a dead stop they’d probably have to hit over 23 MPH at some point in the run. I’ve seen no evidence that Waddle can run that fast. And, as a junior in college he ran a 4.5-something. As I wrote earlier, I DO think he’s faster than that now, but 2/10 of a second faster? I doubt it.
     
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  12. Dol-Fan Dupree

    Dol-Fan Dupree Tank? Who is Tank? I am Guy Incognito.

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    You are wrong.
     
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  13. hitman8

    hitman8 Well-Known Member

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    Just no, you're wrong. But as usual, you will never admit it, Waddle has sub 4.4 speed.

    Yes I know 4.5 is not slow in general terms, but it is not elite speed for the NFL. Tyreek Hill has run a 4.29.

    Hill is indeed faster than Waddle, but they are both in the 4.3 range.

    D.J. Reed is not even in the same ball park with them. A 4.37 is a good 2-3 yards of separation faster than 4.51, about the same difference we saw on that play, and it makes a world of a difference on a deep route like that.

    Yes reed was backpedling initially, but he also gave Waddle a 10 yard cushion, and still got torched. They do not have the same level of speed, not even close.

    See some simulcam footage below so you can appreciate the difference between a 4.39 in this case (simmons) and a 4.48 (mcaffrey). Which is even less of a disparity than exists between Waddle and Reed.

     
    Last edited: Dec 21, 2023
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  14. The_Dark_Knight

    The_Dark_Knight Defender of the Truth

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    Ok, this speed argument is silly.

    Speed doesn’t equate to always being open.

    Speed doesn’t equate to an accurate throw by the quarterback.

    Speed doesn’t equate to a reception. Remember, we’ve seen Waddle drop a few passes from Tua that we’re right in the breadbasket.
     
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  15. djphinfan

    djphinfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    the most glaring and cool trait about tua relative to the nfl is how fast our qb is at playing qb, faster than anyone man.

    like how they hell is this getting overlooked
     
  16. KeyFin

    KeyFin Well-Known Member

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    From running the 40 personally in college and high school, I'd vary from a 4.7 to a 4.8...and I think so much of that was the first 2-3 steps. My fastest ever was a 4.68 but my worst ever was close to a 4.9.

    I was a 220 pound lineman/fullback, by the way. For those of you that don't know this stuff, I was very fast for my size but probably not in the top-20 fastest on the team.
     
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  17. Springveldt

    Springveldt Season Ticket Holder

    Waddle had a run last season on nextgenstats at 21.5mph with the ball in his hands, in pads, during a game. I think it was in the top 10 last season.

    Just look at the video of him and Ruggs racing, there is next to nothing between them. If Waddle was a 4.4 or higher guy then there would have been at least 1 yard of separation between them.

    As I said, look at the all-22 from the 49ers game last year, Waddle makes up at least 5 yards on Sherfield on that TD run in the space of 50 yards and he runs past multiple 49er defenders as he’s racing to the end zone to celebrate with Sherfield. It’s an eye opener to how fast Waddle actually is. Starts at 5:39, I can’t get a link to the timestamp on mobile for some reason.



    Based on the way the NFL times people and based on what we have seen of Waddle on the field I’d be very confident that he would run in the low to mid 4.3’s, he just glides past people and takes the angle from them often as well.
     
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  18. FinFaninBuffalo

    FinFaninBuffalo Well-Known Member

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    So this is where we are now? Dissing Tua because he has receivers that can run? What's next?

    "Well the receivers have to CATCH IT!!!! Tua can't do ANYTHING without his receivers catching the ball!!! He is being carried by his receivers!!!"
     
  19. OwesOwn614

    OwesOwn614 Well-Known Member

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    Shannon Sharpe entered the chat:

     
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  20. Dol-Fan Dupree

    Dol-Fan Dupree Tank? Who is Tank? I am Guy Incognito.

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    Fast wide receivers are over/under thrown all the time. Tua is good at the deep ball that it is odd when it is not a completion.
     
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  21. Springveldt

    Springveldt Season Ticket Holder

    That’s where I’m at. I’m usually shocked when it’s not completed. When he lets it go I’m usually thinking “big play coming up”.
     
  22. FinFaninBuffalo

    FinFaninBuffalo Well-Known Member

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    Shannon took too many hits to the head......
     
  23. OwesOwn614

    OwesOwn614 Well-Known Member

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    He clearly didn't realize Hill didn't play on Sunday. Or that the Jests have a good defense. Or that losing your best player AND your potentially all-pro center in the first half might impact how well you play for the rest of the game. Apparently, you're only as good as your worst game.

    Shannon just proved Tua to be right for what he said.
     
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  24. djphinfan

    djphinfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Tua is getting the ball to his target faster, deeper and more accurate then anyone in football, think about that.
     
  25. TheHighExhaulted

    TheHighExhaulted Well-Known Member

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    He must post on here.
     
  26. The_Dark_Knight

    The_Dark_Knight Defender of the Truth

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    For REAL???????

    Wow, a quarterback can’t have a bad game and still be a GOOD quarterback?

    The sports media has a completely different measuring stick for Tua. Mahomes, Allen, Borrow, Herbert…they can ALL have a bad game… or MANY bad games and they are still viewed as GREAT quarterbacks, but let Tua, who has had 2 consecutive GREAT seasons under Mike McDaniel’s offense have A SINGLE bad game and he’s still viewed as a questionable quarterback? STFU!!!!

    I’ve said it time and time again, Tua could throw for 1000 yards a game, 12 touchdowns, no interceptions and the sports media would STILL be, “yea, but…”
     
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  27. OwesOwn614

    OwesOwn614 Well-Known Member

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    Sports panel shows be going in on Tua like:

    Molly Qerim: Well, the first thing we're discussing is the news that broke last night about Tua walking across the water to save three orphans and two nuns whose bus crashed and fell into a lake. After getting all five of them to safety, he found out there was also a peach crate full of puppies on the bus and returned to save them. He's being hailed as a hero today. What do you have to say?

    Stephen A. Smith: Let me just start by saying that I respect him for taking the time to save them. With that being said, Josh Allen would have been there to fix the brakes of the bus before it crashed. Tua's not the mechanic or quarterback that Josh Allen is and his refusal to work on his skillset is why it took so long to get everybody to safety. And Patrick Mahomes would have carried Travis Kelce across the lake to grab the kids, nuns AND puppies so Mahomes could carry them all back to the shore. It could have been done in one trip but it took Tua two. Definitely not an all-pro.

    Shannon Sharpe: It just goes to show you what I've always said about Tua, Stephen A. The man simply can't swim.
     
  28. Dol-Fan Dupree

    Dol-Fan Dupree Tank? Who is Tank? I am Guy Incognito.

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    The thing is, the Titans game, Tua wasn't bad. It wasn't a good game, but it wasn't bad. He threw for over 7 yards per attempt while throwing no interceptions.

    It wasn't like Dak Prescott against the Bills.
     
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  29. FinFaninBuffalo

    FinFaninBuffalo Well-Known Member

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    Classic. Just needed to add a word in Stephen A's diatribe that doesn't exist and some mumbles to Shannon's.
     
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  30. The_Dark_Knight

    The_Dark_Knight Defender of the Truth

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    Classic, I can literally HEAR their voices reading that!!!!
     
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  31. FinFaninBuffalo

    FinFaninBuffalo Well-Known Member

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    Shannon: "Don't act like your a top 3 quarterback."

    People who track this stuff:

    upload_2023-12-22_13-17-14.png
     
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  32. hitman8

    hitman8 Well-Known Member

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    He's not top 3 in QBR, he's 11th. Shannon also brought that up today.
     
  33. FinFaninBuffalo

    FinFaninBuffalo Well-Known Member

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    When did QBR become gospel? Never mind, I know, it was exactly when Tua went up in EVERY OTHER QB measure except QBR..... just ridiculous.
     
  34. Rick 1966

    Rick 1966 Professional Hipshooter

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    Powell, WY

    QBR is a useless stat.
     
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  35. hitman8

    hitman8 Well-Known Member

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    It takes into account things like strength of competition, supporting cast, and game situations, so I can see how Tua may be ranked lower there.
     
  36. cbrad

    cbrad .

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    He's #2 in passer rating. QBR is ESPN's sorry attempt to try to "account for context" by creating a black box method with 10,000 lines of code that they won't divulge because it would be too easy to attack if they did. Passer rating is transparent (we know what the formula is) and it has a high correlation to win%

    For anyone thinking QBR is good measure of QB ability, please note the massive embarrassment that ESPN still can't rid themselves of that the highest ever QBR in history was for Charlie Batch against TB in 2010. Batch had 12 completions out of 17 attempts for 186 yards with 3 TDs and 2 INTs. That led to a QBR of 99.9!!!!
    https://www.espn.com/nfl/player/gamelog/_/id/1490/type/nfl/year/2010

    THAT is the best game in NFL history according to ESPN's QBR. You can completely dismiss QBR until ESPN decides to be transparent about what's in those 10k lines of code.
     
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  37. Two Tacos

    Two Tacos Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    He wasn't Tua level average though. Which is amazing that he has raised the level of expected QB play so far. It's been so long. I was established as a Dolphin Fan under young Marino, finally having a QB that can constantly play that well again feels good. I have a such a hard time understanding the Tua haters that are actually Dolphin fans. Don't you guys remember the last couple of decades? Tua on those Zach and Jason teams, and there would have been championships. Anyone really doubt that?
     
  38. Rick 1966

    Rick 1966 Professional Hipshooter

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    Powell, WY

    It's worthless. Games where one QB totally dominated the other often have both QBs with the same QBR.
     
  39. Dol-Fan Dupree

    Dol-Fan Dupree Tank? Who is Tank? I am Guy Incognito.

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    I call the game against the Titans the Lawerence Slurp Zone. When Trevor Lawerence gets a rating over 90, people act like he is a franchise quarterback and are ready to slob his knob.
     
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  40. hitman8

    hitman8 Well-Known Member

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    Well, my number one issue with analytics is it often does not put things in context or account for things like strength of competition or supporting cast, so any attempts to factor this in is welcome IMO.
     
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