Cody Parkey

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by Kud_II, Feb 14, 2018.

  1. Kud_II

    Kud_II Realist Division

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    Parkey had a really good year. I hope the Dolphins intend on keeping this kicker. I can't believe they dumped Darr as a punter for this bum we have now as punter.

    But anyway Parkey looked like a solid reliable kicker that has 50+ range in his first year with the Fins. We haven't had a kicker this reliable since prime Olindo Mare.

    Cody Parky has the potential to win a lot of close games for us in the future. I just wanted to give the kicker some appreciation.
     
  2. cbrad

    cbrad .

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    Yup he was solid. He didn't miss any kicks less than 40 yards and made 7 out of 9 for 40+ yards:
    https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/P/ParkCo03.htm

    For comparison, league averages in 2017 were 91.3% for 0-39 yards and 76.2% for 40+ yards. So Parkey was better than league average for 0-39 yards and around average for 40+ yards (7/9 = 77.8%).

    Interesting though that Parkey was below league average in 2017 in extra points percentage. He was 26 of 29 for 89.7% while league average was much higher at 94%.
     
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  3. RoninFin4

    RoninFin4 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    IIRC, were't all of his extra point misses fairly early - I want to say within the first for our five games? I believe he made a correction and changed the spot where he kicked from; either from the hash to the middle or vice versa, and then was fine the rest of the way.
     
  4. Unlucky 13

    Unlucky 13 Team Raheem Club Member

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    Since they changed the XP rule, things have gone wonky around the league. Look at what happened in the Super Bowl. They need to get their heads out of their rear ends and either switch it back, or just eliminate the 1 point XP alltogether, which is my preference.

    As to Parkey, he's a RFA this offseason. He's virtually guaranteed to be the kicker in 2018, and I also like him a lot. The question is whether the team offers him a long term deal and whether he accepts. McManus of the Broncos would be the best comp, signing a 3 year deal for 11.2m, with 8.3m guaranteed.
     
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  5. cbrad

    cbrad .

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    Close. He missed one in game 2, one in game 4, and one in game 8:
    https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/P/ParkCo03/gamelog/2017/
     
  6. Dol-Fan Dupree

    Dol-Fan Dupree Tank? Who is Tank? I am Guy Incognito.

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    I am actually enjoying the rule change. I think it is pretty fun to watch extra points be missed.

    I hope they extend Parkey. I think it is cool when life long Dolphin fans get their dream of becoming a Miami Dolphin. Plus he did a good job.
     
  7. djphinfan

    djphinfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    stats are the only thing that matters when it comes to field goal kickers lol

    not sure there is any position in all of sports that doesn't have the need to account for variables.
     
  8. Deus ex dolphin

    Deus ex dolphin Well-Known Member

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    His range is good, but not great. Accuracy is very good if he has cleaned up the extra point issue. Three years at $10 million with half guaranteed seems fair.
     
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  9. cbrad

    cbrad .

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    Temperature and severe wind affect FG% so free throws in basketball might take the crown for a team sport stat that's almost completely an individual stat.

    However.. there actually IS a problem with FG stats for individual kickers: sample size is often so small that stats for a single year for any kicker really aren't that reliable.

    For example, Parkey made 14 out of 14 FG's between 0-39 yards while the league average in 2017 was 91.3%. Using a coin flip model where the coin is biased at 91.3% (so 91.3% of the time it's heads) you find that about 2/3 of the time the percent of heads in 14 flips lies between 11.7 and 13.9. In other words, Parkey's 100% success rate in 14 tries is within the range expected for about 2/3 of "average" kickers.

    Similarly, if you only have 9 FG attempts of 40+ yards where the league average is 76.2%, that 2/3 range is from 5.2 to 8.5 so pretty big. And the same is true with extra points: for 29 tries with a league average of 94% that range is 25.6 to 28.9 successes, so Parkey's 26 out of 29 is actually statistically consistent with "league average" because the sample size is just so small. So from that point of view there still is a problem with using stats for kickers, at least for a single year.
     
  10. Unlucky 13

    Unlucky 13 Team Raheem Club Member

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    If you look at Parkey's game logs, he was nearly perfect for long stretches. His only misses last year were from 50 yards out at Baltimore, which is a windy place to kick, especially at night, and then a 48 yarder on the cold, windy day in KC. (when he made two others).

    In 2016 with Cleveland, if you throw out his first game when he was signed off the street in the middle of the week, he had only two misses the rest of the year, and one was in the cold in Pittsburgh, one of the hardest places in the league to kick.

    And then if you go back to his rookie year in 2014, two of his four misses were on a cold, sloppy day at Washington. Both in the same quarter, from 46 and 34 yards.

    All told, in decent weather, Parkey is money from under 45 yards, and he's 6/7 from 50+ in his career too. There's no reason not to keep him, honestly.
     

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