The Dropsies

Discussion in 'Miami Dolphins Forum' started by ckparrothead, Oct 8, 2013.

  1. ckparrothead

    ckparrothead Draft Forum Moderator Luxury Box

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    Thought perhaps this should have its own thread.

    Among QBs with 100+ throws Ryan Tannehill has been victimized by the 3rd-most drops per catchable pass (catchable pass = catches + drops)

    The top most victimized quarterback is Brandon Weeden, which is unsurprising considering he played two of his three games with Greg Little, Travis Benjamin and Davone Bess as his receivers. Bess believe it or not has never been particularly sure handed. Greg Little is known for drops. Gordon is prone to them as well and dropped two during the game that he and Weeden did actually play together.

    Second is Tom Brady, again unsurprising considering he's been without Gronkowski this whole time and Amendola has been hurt most of the year as well. He's been throwing to rookies like Kenbrell Thompkins, Aaron Dobson, Josh Boyce and Zach Sudfeld. Thompkins and Dobson in particular seem like drop machines at times.

    Fourth is Sam Bradford with the Rams. Again, not that surprising with such a young overall unit. Tavon Austin a rookie. Chris Givens and Brian Quick are second year guys.

    Fifth is E.J. Manuel with the Bills. Once again another young unit. The WR with the most playing time Robert Woods is a rookie. T.J. Graham is a second year guy. This is Chris Hogan's first year actually playing regular season football...and I don't think he played much in college either, if at all. He was one of those sport to sport converts I believe.

    Miami has a veteran receiving unit. They should not be up there with those inexperienced units in the top five. That's not cool.

    Mike Wallace - 6 Drops
    Charles Clay - 4 Drops
    Brian Hartline - 2 Drops
    Brandon Gibson - 2 Drops
    Dion Sims - 1 Drop
    Lamar Miller - 1 Drop

    I'm missing a drop somewhere. PFF says 17 of them.
     
  2. jdang307

    jdang307 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Is Mike Wallace really at 6 drops? That's ridiculous. Clay's drops are high too. The rest are average I believe.
     
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  3. ckparrothead

    ckparrothead Draft Forum Moderator Luxury Box

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    Even the friggin Jets with Clyde Gates and Stephen Hill have only 8 drops.
     
  4. emocomputerjock

    emocomputerjock Senior Member

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    I thought Gibson officially had 3 for the year, but the sources all vary. The Washington Post, which is usually OK, has Hartline leading the team in drops right now with 2 so I know they're out they damn minds on this one.
     
  5. jdang307

    jdang307 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Who are the sources Emo? I think WaPo uses Stats LLC who are widely used when it comes to stats.
     
  6. emocomputerjock

    emocomputerjock Senior Member

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    Yep, its STATS for the post. They've got Tayvon Austin leading the league in drops right now, but Wallace isn't even on the list. The Gibson drops stat came from Barry Jackson I think, in an article prior to the Ravens game (the context was Wallace and Gibson were tied with 3 prior to the game).
     
  7. Bpk

    Bpk Premium Member Luxury Box

    Has anyone ever looked to see if varying the QB was more a factor than varying a QB's WRs?

    I feel like QB sensing the right timing and touch for a situation and pass have as much or more to do with drops than his WR corps do.

    If you look at Manning, Brees or Brady's drops across their careers with varying WRs is there more variance in drops than by trying to compare across QBs (which is challenging if not impossible since to have a fair comparison they would need to be throwing to the same WRs).
     
  8. Bpk

    Bpk Premium Member Luxury Box

    Offensive playcalling/scheme is another interesting one.

    What affect does OC change have on drops given the same QB and WRs. If Sherman's system requires certain routes, QB drops, timing and playcalling then could it contribute.
     
  9. ckparrothead

    ckparrothead Draft Forum Moderator Luxury Box

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    Don't think the source matters much as long as it's consistent across all 32 teams.

    Pro Football Focus has drops data attached specifically to quarterbacks so I'd just assume use them.

    Keep in mind PFF scored 3 drops for Mike Wallace in the game Sunday, 1 more drop for Hartline, and 1 more for Clay.
     
  10. djphinfan

    djphinfan Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Gibson has at least three...so move'em up the ranks.
     
  11. ckparrothead

    ckparrothead Draft Forum Moderator Luxury Box

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    It's a good thought but it really subjects you to sample size issues.
     
  12. ckparrothead

    ckparrothead Draft Forum Moderator Luxury Box

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    Maybe that's the disconnect I'm seeing. They have 17 drops scored for Tannehill but going through each individual skill player I only tally 16 drops. That 17th is probably a drop that somehow didn't get added to Gibson's total but did to Tannehill's.
     
  13. PhiNomina

    PhiNomina White-Collar Redneck

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    So Tannehill is leading the league in sacks.

    Has suffered from the 3rd most drops.

    And has the 5th least rushing yards per game in the league.

    It's hard not to get excited about how well he's played considering all of that.

    I wonder how we are doing in terms of YAC? I would have to assume we're below average in that category as well - reinforcing the idea that Tannehill is carrying the entire offense.
     
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  14. emocomputerjock

    emocomputerjock Senior Member

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    According to ESPN, we've got 495 yards to our opponents 677, with Clay in the lead with 127. Give me a minute to try to check some other teams out...
     
  15. FanMarino

    FanMarino Season Ticket Holder

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    With all these stats beit drops and watching Tannehill trying to pass behind that O-Line regarding sacks and hurries, hits and no running game im beginning to have RT's back no matter what negative bs some guys on here put up with opinions against Tanny. Its not fair on #17 to be expected to lead that Offense with so many negative obstacles. Seriously.
     
  16. ckparrothead

    ckparrothead Draft Forum Moderator Luxury Box

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    Here are some same-team situations that come close enough in sample size for comparison.

    1. Brandon Weeden 10 drops on 70 catchables, Brian Hoyer 6 drops on 63 catchables.
    2. Chad Henne 6 drops on 59 catchables, Blaine Gabbert 7 drops on 49 catchables.

    Neither of them have statistical significance, IMO.

    Last year you have,

    1. Kevin Kolb 10 drops on 119 catchables, John Skelton 12 drops on 121 catchables, Ryan Lindley 12 drops on 101 catchables.
    2. Blaine Gabbert 27 drops on 189 catchables, Chad Henne 23 drops on 189 catchables.
    3. Matt Cassel 23 drops on 184 catchables, Brady Quinn 11 drops on 123 catchables.
    4. Michael Vick 21 drops on 225 catchables, Nick Foles 10 drops on 171 catchables.
    5. Colin Kaepernick 19 drops on 155 catchables, Alex Smith 12 drops on 165 catchables.
    6. Jake Locker 25 drops on 202 catchables, Matt Hasselbeck 14 drops on 152 catchables.

    Not seeing anything to draw conclusions based on.
     
  17. ckparrothead

    ckparrothead Draft Forum Moderator Luxury Box

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    Good instincts.

    WRs are 30th in the league.

    Total skill positions are 27th in the league.
     
  18. Sumlit

    Sumlit Well-Known Member

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    I think Lamar Miller has more than 1 drop. Of the top of my head, I remember 2 drops from passes to the flat, each one to a different side of the field.
     
  19. Dol-Fan Dupree

    Dol-Fan Dupree Tank? Who is Tank? I am Guy Incognito.

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    I believe the one you are thinking of was in the preseason
     
  20. Section126

    Section126 We are better than you. Luxury Box

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    Oh..I give up. **** this team.

    (Did some advanced numbers work this morning for the fins as well....it is a VERY depressing time to be a fan of advanced metrics and this team)
     
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  21. Sumlit

    Sumlit Well-Known Member

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    It could very well be.
     
  22. FanMarino

    FanMarino Season Ticket Holder

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    And we are 3-2. Unreal.
     
  23. evz

    evz Feral Druid Club Member

    dumb question - what is the "foot roll" out of bounds "catch" by Mike Wallace considered? That's a play he should have made....
     
  24. FinNasty

    FinNasty Alabama don’t want this... Staff Member Club Member

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    Some of Wallace's drops have been clear miscommunications... where the ball isn't very catchable b/c Tannehill is expecting Wallace to do something different.

    Then there's a couple that have just gone right through his hands...
     
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  25. MrClean

    MrClean Inglourious Basterd Club Member

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    Maybe coincidence, but didn't Tannehill have a high number of his passes dropped at TAMU too?
    He was 11th in drops last year, but the top ten in drops all had far more attempts.
     
  26. padre31

    padre31 Premium Member Luxury Box

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    They are hitting Wallace w/some drops mainly b/c they have not played Wr before.

    At some point, people realize when your momentum is going one way, and the ball is coming the opposite way, but still in the area, it is more than likely not getting caught.

    Think of it as stepping out your front door, then realizing you left your wallet on the table next to the door, in mid step reach back and snatch your wallet.
     
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  27. padre31

    padre31 Premium Member Luxury Box

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    Especially in the NOLA game, wow he went full on Ted Ginn at times.

    Thought he had two or so vs the Ravens, think much of it is THill has erratic area accuracy.
     
  28. Clark Kent

    Clark Kent Fighter of the Nightman

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    What's sad is Clay should have more than 4, imo...
     
  29. padre31

    padre31 Premium Member Luxury Box

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    Back to back weeks with at least 1 play for over 40 yds that was largely YAC, Thigpen and Clay spring to mind.
     
  30. slickj101

    slickj101 Is Water

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    And what are the various attempts per team? Are we also 1st in that? Wouldn't be surprised.

    Our inconsistency w our receivers and OL really makes me like Tanny that much more. He gets that pocket awareness down and he's gonna be a monster.
     
  31. jdang307

    jdang307 Season Ticket Holder Club Member

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    Well the definition of a dropped pass is usually "normal effort." But the problem is, what is normal for one person is not normal for the other. The pass to Wallace down the middle where he had to reach back for I would not count as a dropped pass. Perhaps it was Wallace's fault. Perhaps he should have gotten his head around faster. Perhaps he was right and Tanny just made a bad throw. Doesn't matter. We don't have that information. If the catch is made it's a great catch. To me, by definition if it would have been a great catch, it's not a drop.

    That said, when I watched the replay I noticed how fast Wallace zoomed across the screen even in slow mo. Once those two get their timing right it's going to be great.
     
  32. padre31

    padre31 Premium Member Luxury Box

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    Thing is Jd, if the ball is out front, it will most likely be caught w/momentum going down hill.

    This, I suspect is why THill has seen so many drops on his resume', it has followed him to the pros, it is still the same story.

    Not down on him b/c his missed throws are not wildly off and intercepted, or even tipped into the air for Int's, it is a factor in the drops.

    As for Wallace, the last game showed why Philbin mentioned this offense is not meant for the ball to go to one Wr predominately, they were pumping the ball to Wallace and we did nothing, once it was spread around the offense looked great.
     
  33. Sumlit

    Sumlit Well-Known Member

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    IMHO that pass down the middle on Sunday was Wallace's fault. I think he was supposed to and Tannehill expected him to squat, instead he kept on running, hence why the ball was behind.

    We saw a few poor route running situation by Wallace on Sunday. To mind come the pass towards the endzone where Wallace blocked instead of going for the ball and the result was a ball that appeared to go to no one. Then the late pass where Tannehill expected Wallace to cut to the sideline and made the pass there but Wallace did not cut outside.

    I think there is certainly communication and execution issues between these two, however I do expect more from Wallace by now.
     
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  34. Conuficus

    Conuficus Premium Member Luxury Box

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    Well away from here
    I think Sims dropped a pass, it was his first pass coming at him.
     
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  35. Stitches

    Stitches ThePhin's Biggest Killjoy Luxury Box

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    Pretty sure his first pass was the TD (he only has two targets). There was definitely a drop versus the Saints though down the seam. So I do believe you identified the final drop's culprit.
     
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  36. Rocky Raccoon

    Rocky Raccoon Greasepaint Ghost Staff Member

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    What's funny is that even with the drops and inconsistency, I like this receiving unit more than any unit we've had in at least a decade.
     
  37. ckparrothead

    ckparrothead Draft Forum Moderator Luxury Box

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    I wish it were scored a drop but it's not.
     
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  38. Marino1384

    Marino1384 Member

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    Comes back to the offensive line and timing on most. Such as Wallace vs the ravens. That counts as a drop for Wallace but was really a timing error rather than a drop. ( sure he could of caught it but asking a receiver to go against momentum and reach back is never going to be a should of 100 percent caught it even for like a calvin Johnson. Don't think the wideouts are the problem and I can't remember in the last 15 years or so a better group. Wicked impressed by gibsons yard after catch so far since everyone was ragging about that this offseason when we signed him saying he was just a possession receiver. Wallace has stretched the field and the most important thing will be for tannehill to develop timing with Wallace. This guys speed is no joke. He's been open on atleast 5-6 over/under throws. As for Hartline that drop hurt but I can't remember the last time hartline dropped a ball like that. Clay had been a pleasant surprise. Jimmy graham is considered the best pass catching tight end in the league. Calvin is the best wide receiver and guess who was 1 and 2 last year in drops? Yup the best tight end and wr in the league. Even the best drop passes, it happens. These guys are all young and if we can develop a good oline even decent and get a running game then this offense had the potential to be scary good.
     
  39. dolfan32323

    dolfan32323 ty xphinfanx

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    It seems as if drops are a problem year in and year out for this team.
     
  40. BicketyBam

    BicketyBam No Fist Pumps Allowed

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    Gates probably has all 8. God, that guy has hands of stone. And he's a lousy kick returner.
     

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