Lets look at QBs taken AFTER the first 5 picks. Lets face it, with a few exceptions, QBs taken in the top 3 picks are uusally legit, after 3rd its a crap shoot at best. Yep, you got the Flacco's , Rodgers and such but not many. So here it goes. Again, just looking at first round picks. Hyde, you should actually look into things before you print them
pick 7 Bryon Leftwich
pick 19 Kyle Boller
pick 22 Rex Grossman Non of these guys turned out to be crap.
pick 11 Ben Roethlisberger Hit, a rare find
pick 22 JP Lossman
pick 21 Matt Jones Who ?????
pick 24 Aaron Rodgers nug said, on his way to be a great QB
pick 25 Jason Campbell Meh, you can have him
pick 10 Matt Leinhart failure
pick 11 Jay Cutler did halway decent and then ?
pick 22 Brady Quin LMFAO
2007 Jamarcus Russell taken number 1 overall, MISTAKE !!!!!!!!!!!!
pick 18 Joe Flacco as I said, there are exceptions
pick 25 Tim Teeeeeeee bow. Opinions vary as wide as I95 is long
pick 8 Jake Locker Meh
pick 10 Blaine Gabbert Double Meh
pick 12 Christian Ponder Triple Meh
Never since I have been watching drafts have so many also ran QBs were taken in the first 15 picks. Then again with the new Rookie wage scale, they were a relatively cheap gamble. Outside of Newton, who got around 22 million, the rest really suck bad.
So there it is. Since 2003 of the 16 QBs taken after pick 5. 3 have really turned into what one would consider Franchise QBs. 19% ratio turned out to be really good. The rest ? You can take them or leave them. Now, lets see who was taken in the first 5 picks from 2003 to 2011
pick 1 Carson Palmer started off good but fizzled due to injuries and the rest of the team sucking badly
Pick 1 Eli Manning Franchise QB
Pick 4 Phillip Rivers Franchise QB
Pick 1 Alex Smith One good year since he was drafted. Blame it on many HC/OC or what you will, outside of 2011 season, the kid has done squat.
Pick 3 Vince Young EPIC FAILURE
Pick 1 JaMarcus Russell Failure of biblical proportions
pick 3 Matt Ryan Good QB, franchisesque, we should have taken him.
Pick 1 Mathew Stafford Good but due to injuries I cannot say as of yet that he is a franchise type QB. Certainly better then anything we have had.
Pick 5 Mark Sanchez Varied opinion from still learning to likes to bob for male apples on the weekends. Not a franchise QB.
pick 1 Sam Bradford due to the Rams being cursed until time ends and injuries, the kid has not showed as of yet he is a franchise QB BUT, he certainly has the potential to be a franchise QB. Time will tell.
Pick 1 Cam Newton again, varied opinions but IMO, franchise QB.
So there it is. Since 2003 of the 11 QBs taken in the top 5 picks, IMO 6 would be considered franchise QBs. Thats 55% of the QBs taken that are IMO, franchise QBs. Thats a HUGE increase over ones taken after pick 5 (19%) that would be franchise QBs IMO.
As a matter of fact if you look even closer, since 2003, of the QBs picked in the top 5, only 2 after pick 1 Ryan and Rivers , is considered to be a franchise QB. Again, the rest are also rans.
Lets face it and the results above clearly show the evidence. If you choose a QB in the first round after the 2nd pick, the chances of him turning into a really good QB no less a franchise QB are very ver veeeeeeeeeeeery low. Results show that of the 27 QBs taken in the first round since 2003, and after taking out the first overall picks,( 7 ) that leaves 19 QBs overall taken the first round, of which only 5 were franchise type QBs. or 26% of the ones taken after pick 1.
Whats the percentage of really good ones taken after pick 7 ? Same as the percentage of ones picked after pick 5. 19% of them turned out to be franchise QBs Roethlissburger, Flacco and Rodgers. Percentages show clearly after pick 5 in the draft, choosing a QB in the first round is nothing more then a crap shoot. Again, IMO, Tannehill will just be part of the 81% of QBs taken after pick 5 that will fail. 81%, Hyde should have realized there is a lot more then just blurting out first round QBs. 81% failure vs 19% success. Those type of odds keep the lights burning brightly in Vegas 24/7 folks.